關於 correlated to or with ，我們在網路上蒐集到這些相關的討論、資訊與評價

𝗛𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗰𝗮𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗼𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗽𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝘀𝘁 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗽𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗶𝘁 (𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝘁𝗼𝗼)

According to a study by Cesilla Horváth and Richard Paap, they found that casinos’ revenue was correlated with economic growth.

This means during a recession, a casino’s business will be negatively affected as fewer people visit the casinos.

So, what do they do?

Well, they could…

Reduce the number of staff to reduce their expense since they have fewer customers to serve.

Offer free rooms to attract customers back to the gambling tables so they can increase their revenue.

Improve the efficiency of their operation so they can lower expense and still maintain or even increase revenue.

Now if a casino can anticipate the worst and have contingency plans ready, they are likely to survive whatever comes their way.

Now what about your trading business, do you have contingency plans for it?

Here are some real issues you must consider…
- If you’re in a losing streak, can you still meet your day to day expenses?
- What if your broker goes belly up, how will that affect you?
- If your trading system goes into a drawdown, how do you know if you should continue trading it or stop altogether?
- If the markets suddenly collapse 10%, can you survive?

If you can answer these questions, then you have a sound trading business.

［大師冇點你］ 真係咪Q講笑，以前我返星展，都應該寫啲咁嘅嘢，仲要冇後面咩每日一圖 Good Read嗰啲。甚至我而家寫得仲好過當年，詳細過當年。仲要我而家係6點鐘已經寫完send 埋，換著以前？下午四五點啦

當然一個關鍵係，我寫完陣間食埋早餐就瞓，星展唔會畀我咁做。但亦證明根本佢哋以為高薪厚職，但啲繁文縟節係完全拖低生產力，又要跟格式呀又要乜柒。我肯定當年啲客寧願我半夜寫完然後瞓覺，好過我返到公司先寫。「最理想梗係你4點起身寫完然後返公司開會添」，係呀可。但，why join the navy when you can be pirate？而家我就有資格講啦！既然根本我自己直接賣畀讀者都得，咁以前啲錢咩人拎走？

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勞蘇講完，講正題。萬眾期待聯儲局議息會議。

講到尾，睇你點睇，都係narrative，fit story．我見報紙嘅頭條係：聯儲局2023年加2次息，股市重挫，債息狂升。

但，講真，邊個care 2023年發生嘅事？股市當然炒預期，但我當呢個月股災都好，咁接下嚟2021年下半年你可以做乜？繼續擔心2年之後未必會出現嘅加息？點講都唔合符常識。市場反映嘅「預期」可以幾遠？唔易量化，但目測最多咪一年半年？

Patreon入面，我同你睇返聯儲局嘅 點陣圖。冇錯，2023年加兩次息，3月嗰時冇講。但，上次一樣都有幾條友（圖中一粒粒豆鼓）覺得2023年加息，只係今次開始夠半數，變成共識。非常正路

另外，Patreon我有同你睇晒聯儲局兩次嘅經濟數據預測。個個只係留意2021年佢上調咗，但鬼唔知咩，上半場入咗2球你全場開入球小個賠率當然變晒啦。

個重點係：2022 2023嘅通脹預測，差不多完全冇郁！根本完全符合返聯儲局覺得通脹只係暫時嘅劇本。

仲有，福爾摩斯話齋，唔好睇有乜發生，睇有乜冇發生。局方完全冇討論收水，亦冇打算停買債。

咁你話，跌乜？痴線，即使最深時都不過係400點，1.5%都唔夠。咁又話大跌嘅，返屋企食老少平安啦，股市好危險架！況且，你可以睇下時間，根本係出聲明前跌，出完收復唔少失地。

仲有，你不妨望下個VIX，唔知發生咩事嘅，Patreon入面有講。

債息呢？冇錯係彈升，1.50%彈到1.60%，都算多。但亦不過返返月頭嘅水平。呢下亦都幾合理，因為擺明短期聯儲局唔會做啲乜了，通脹短期會持續。

至於最後一個問題？既然短期通脹會上，咁影唔影響企業盈利？用個好簡單嘅例子答你：人類N咁多年嘅歷史都係通脹，但企業盈利亦係越升越高，企業盈利部份咪嚟自通脹咯！股價係nominal thing嘛。企業盈利都係。

你話：唔係喎，成本會上升喎。成本上升？當然係轉嫁落去消費者身上。你以為你加人工 收支票嘅錢，企業會唔渣乾你？

當然，唔係所有企業有咁嘅能力。但，就係最大嘅公司咪有啲能力，而指數入面就係最大嘅公司。都係嗰句，NetFlix下個月加價10%，你係咪轉睇TVB？

應下景，每日一圖甚至Good Read都係經濟嘢。

第一個圖，見到美國企業負債比率（相對GDP）去到70年新高！咁末日論嘅又會覺得，加息你仲唔仆街？但根本係本末倒置：就係因為你低息我先借咁多錢嘛！做回購又好，買嘢又好，乜都得。成件事係掉轉睇：咁情況下，可以有幾多加息空間？唔好忘記政府嘅情況都係咁！

仲唔信嘅，我嘅理論係好似乒乓波或藍球彈地咁，越彈越冇力。2005一浸加息加到5%，2015上一浸只係加到3%左右。下次呢？你覺得點？

第二個圖，講返有幾多通脹，係嚟自舊年嘅低基數效應。舊年呢個時間，好多價格都跌落去（機票錢，酒店租之類）。所以聯儲局嗰套「只係暫時」似乎合理的。詳情就睇文啦。

Good Read 兩篇。第一篇講 High frequency Indicator，唔係高頻交易，而係經濟指票。實情你去數下有幾多人搭地鐵，有幾多人訂餐廳，咪知個recovery係點咯。我根本唔使等到第二季完晒之後再多一個月，政府出嚟公佈，我先知經濟得唔得。咁呢啲嘢有乜Implication？就文入面講

第二篇，教你如何做sell side economist，十分正點。我特別鍾意講圖嘅一段，搞錄如下：

Mastering Chartism: It is possible to show a relationship between almost any two variables in macroeconomics as long as you can display them on two axes and are willing to spend enough time manipulating the second axis, experimenting with data lags, inversions or various moving averages. If you still can’t make the relationship work, extend your history to cover the Global Financial Crisis; everything looks correlated during the GFC.

係喎，你可以Google返篇文出嚟，貼得出嚟唔怕畀你搵，反正都係免費文。但冇我嘅導讀，「冇我嘅練馬師，你嘥咗隻馬喎」。快啲重金禮聘個練馬師，即係我啦。正如咩聯儲局議息聲明，點陣圖，呢啲全部都公開資料啦。但，冇我嘅導讀，「嘥咗隻馬喎」。

佢冇話你知咩？

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2021比別人知得多。subscribe now（https://bityl.co/4Y0h）。Ivan Patreon，港美市場評點，專題號外，每日一圖，好文推介。每星期6篇，月費80，半年已1600人訂！ 畀年費仲有85折
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𝗛𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗰𝗮𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗼𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗽𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝘀𝘁 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗽𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗶𝘁 (𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝘁𝗼𝗼)

According to a study by Cesilla Horváth and Richard Paap, they found that casinos’ revenue was correlated with economic growth.

This means during a recession, a casino’s business will be negatively affected as fewer people visit the casinos.

So, what do they do?

Well, they could…

Reduce the number of staff to reduce their expense since they have fewer customers to serve.

Offer free rooms to attract customers back to the gambling tables so they can increase their revenue.

Improve the efficiency of their operation so they can lower expense and still maintain or even increase revenue.

Now if a casino can anticipate the worst and have contingency plans ready, they are likely to survive whatever comes their way.

Now what about your trading business, do you have contingency plans for it?

Here are some real issues you must consider…
- If you’re in a losing streak, can you still meet your day to day expenses?
- What if your broker goes belly up, how will that affect you?
- If your trading system goes into a drawdown, how do you know if you should continue trading it or stop altogether?
- If the markets suddenly collapse 10%, can you survive?

If you can answer these questions, then you have a sound trading business.

Rayner: In today’s episode, I have a question from Zac, who asked, "Hey Rayner, how do you manage correlations in your trading?" So, before I talk about how I do it, I want to share with you two things about correlations that most traders don't quite get.

[00:00:30] Number one is this, correlations are always changing. If you look back in time, in the '08, '09 financial crisis, you will see that the stock markets are declining, going down, right? And if you look at the bond markets, it's actually going up. Because money is taken out of the stock markets, into the bond markets as a safe haven. So, that is why you have this negative correlation between the bonds and the stock markets.

But if you look at, let's say, recent times, you would notice that both the stock and bond markets are actually moving up in tandem. You can see that the correlation has changed over the last few years.

[00:01:00] So, that's the first point that I want to bring across, is that number one, correlations, they change over time. So what is correlated in the past, does not mean that the correlation will hold in the future, okay?

And number two is this, is that correlations can change depending on the timeframe you're looking at. Let's say, for example, you trade the FX markets, you know the Eurodollar, and pound dollar, and they appear to be correlated on a daily timeframe. But if you go down to, let's say, the lower timeframe, you might see that hey, they're actually negatively correlated.

[00:01:30] So, the second thing that I want to point out is that correlations also depend on the timeframe you're looking at. So that's two things that I want to bring across. So now to share with you, how do you manage correlations in a market? Let me share with you a few things that you can use. The first thing is, you can divide your risk accordingly.

[00:02:00] So, for example, let's say you are bullish on the Euro. You are thinking about buying either Euro Aussie or Euro New Zealand and you can't decide. What you can do is split your risk across this two currency pairs. For example, if you usually risk like 2% on each trade. Now what you can do is risk 1% on Euro Aussie and 1% on Euro New Zealand. Right? That's the first thing you can do. Split the risk.

[00:02:30] The second thing you can do is to, what I call, pick the strongest market to long and short the weakest market. So if for example, Euro Aussie and Euro New Zealand, you realize that Euro Aussie is a stronger currency to long compared to New Zealand, maybe because the moving rate is steeper or maybe because Euro Aussie is the first market that breaks out.

What you can do is, long the strongest and ignore the second tier currency pair. That's another way you can go about it.

[00:03:00] And the final thing to share is understanding the markets you're trading. For example, which markets are correlated, which are not correlated, how strong the correlation, how weak their correlation and stuff like that. It's really based on understanding the markets, watching the markets, and then knowing which are the different correlations out there because it's always changing as I've shared with you earlier. Understanding the markets would definitely help you as a trader, dealing with correlations.

And so, that's pretty much it for this week's question. If you have anything that you want me to answer, just let me know in the comments section below, all right, and I'll get back to you. With that said, head down to my website, tradingwithrayner.com where you'll learn trading strategies that work right so that you can get rich slow.

If you want more actionable trading tips and strategies, go to https://www.tradingwithrayner.com

Thanks for watching!

FOLLOW ME AT:
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/groups/forextradingwithrayner
Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/rayner_teo
My YouTube channel: http://bit.ly/2EFg5VN

I reckon it's time for me to do an update for personal use and to let you guys know how intermittent fasting went for me. It is going really well to be honest. I'm still doing it but I might consider doing 5 days of fasting and 2 days of non fasting days now.

What I used in my recipe: Acai powder:
15% off your first Tropeaka order at https://tropeaka.com
Use code: CHLOE15 (worldwide shipping available)

Other updates:

I didn't lose my period. I actually had my period in time and for the first time in a year, I didn't have unbearable period pain. I don't know if that's correlated to int fasting or not. I will have let you guys know more about that after a couple of months.

Also, I started ketogenic diet along with intermittent fasting 3 weeks ago because I wanted to see how I go with it. It is definitely not as easy as doing fasting alone. It is honestly quite challenging at first but i sticked through with it. Definitely don't recommend anyone to go into keto without doing some research and be prepared for it.

Also forgot to add in the macadamia nuts section to my what i eat section. I consume about 50g of nuts everyday to hit my fat intake. Mostly macadamia with almonds. Almonds is high in potassium and macadamia on the other hand has loads of fat content which is great for keto diet.

Check out my first intermittent fasting video here:
https://youtu.be/MPKDjNvKnN8

Also try this full body workout if you want to lose fat and maintain muscle!
https://youtu.be/MPKDjNvKnN8

This standing abs workout burns heaps of calories as well:
https://youtu.be/M6b37hswcks

I hope you enjoy today's video. Recipes are all already in the video itself. Really simple and quick recipes. Have a great day everyone!

Music by:
https://soundcloud.com/aka-dj-quads

More Info Connect with Me in Instagram : https://www.instagram.com/drshsbd/

PROBLEM: Skipping breakfast is strongly correlated with weight gain. "Start your day off right," right? Still, young people eat nearly half of their daily calories between 4 p.m. and midnight. So, eat breakfast, but what's best?

MEDICAL RESEARCH: An experiment out of the University of Missouri involved overweight or obese females, aged 18 to 20, who identified as infrequent breakfast eaters. Each morning for a week, the researchers had the participants eat either 350 calories of cereal (13 grams of protein), 350 calories of eggs and beef (35 grams of protein), or skip breakfast entirely.

RESULT: Eating any breakfast was associated with increased feelings of fullness, a reduced desire to eat, and lower levels of ghrelin (a hunger-stimulating hormone) throughout the morning. But meaty, eggy breakfast was associated with these benefits over the course of the entire day. Participants who had a lot of protein in the morning also had reductions in their "cravings-related" brain activity, and increased levels of a hormone associated with satiety. They snacked less on fatty foods in the evening, as compared to those who ate cereal or nothing.

CONCLUSION: This makes a pretty good MEDICAL PROOF that we should take a high-protein breakfast

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mz5IvyRdo4E&feature=youtu.be