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imf gdp data 在 ลงทุนแมน Facebook 的最佳貼文

2020-12-06 10:49:00 有 6,232 人按讚

เศรษฐกิจเวียดนาม จะแซงไทย จริงหรือ? /โดย ลงทุนแมน
“อีกไม่นานเศรษฐกิจเวียดนามจะแซงประเทศไทย”
ประโยคนี้ จะกลายเป็นความจริง จริงหรือไม่?
ทุกวันนี้ เศรษฐกิจของเวียดนามกับไทย
ห่างไกล หรือ ใกล้เคียงกัน แค่ไหนกันแน่?

และอะไร คือสัญญาณเตือน ที่ทำให้ช่วงนี้ เราได้ยินกันบ่อยขึ้นว่า
เศรษฐกิจของเวียดนาม กำลังจะแซงไทย
ลงทุนแมนจะเล่าให้ฟัง
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เริ่มต้นกันที่ เศรษฐกิจของ 2 ประเทศ มีความแตกต่างกันมากแค่ไหน

ปี 2019 ประเทศไทยมีขนาดเศรษฐกิจ 16.4 ล้านล้านบาท ใหญ่เป็นอันดับที่ 22 ของโลก ประชากรมีรายได้เฉลี่ยคนละ 236,000 บาทต่อปี อยู่อันดับที่ 82 ของโลก

ขณะที่เวียดนาม ในปี 2019 มีขนาดเศรษฐกิจ 7.9 ล้านล้านบาท อยู่อันดับที่ 44 ของโลก ประชากรมีรายได้เฉลี่ยคนละ 82,000 บาท อยู่อันดับที่ 135 ของโลก

และด้วยรายได้เฉลี่ยต่อหัวของคนไทยในระดับนี้ ทำให้ประเทศไทยถูกจัดอยู่ในกลุ่มประเทศที่มีรายได้ปานกลางระดับสูง (Upper middle income country)

ขณะที่เวียดนาม ปัจจุบันยังถูกจัดอยู่ในกลุ่มประเทศที่มีรายได้ปานกลางระดับต่ำ (Lower middle income country)

สรุปแล้ว ในตอนนี้เศรษฐกิจไทยยังคงใหญ่กว่าเวียดนาม 2 เท่า
ขณะที่รายได้เฉลี่ยต่อหัวต่อปีของคนไทย ก็มากกว่าของเวียดนามเกือบ 3 เท่า

เห็นแบบนี้แล้ว เราอาจสรุปได้ว่า
เศรษฐกิจของประเทศไทยในตอนนี้
ยังนำหน้าเวียดนามอยู่พอสมควรเลยทีเดียว

แต่รู้ไหมว่า ในช่วง 10 ปีที่ผ่านมา อัตราการเติบโตทางเศรษฐกิจของเวียดนาม มากกว่าไทยถึง 2 เท่า

ในช่วงปี 2009-2019 เศรษฐกิจไทย เติบโตเฉลี่ยปีละ 3%
ขณะที่เศรษฐกิจของเวียดนามเติบโตเฉลี่ยปีละ 6%

สำหรับปีนี้ การระบาดของโควิด 19 ส่งผลกระทบต่อการเติบโตทางเศรษฐกิจของหลายประเทศทั่วโลก ไม่เว้นแม้แต่ไทยและเวียดนาม

หลายฝ่ายคาดการณ์กันว่า เศรษฐกิจไทยในปีนี้ จะติดลบประมาณ 6.4%
ส่วนเศรษฐกิจเวียดนาม จะยังคงเติบโตที่ 2.4%

แต่ถ้าสมมติว่า โรคระบาดนี้ผ่านพ้นไป
ถ้าเราให้เศรษฐกิจทั้ง 2 ประเทศ กลับมาเติบโตด้วยอัตราเฉลี่ยเดิมเหมือนกับช่วงปี 2009-2019
คือไทยเติบโตเฉลี่ยปีละ 3% และเวียดนามเติบโตเฉลี่ยปีละ 6%

หมายความว่า กว่าที่ขนาดเศรษฐกิจเวียดนามจะแซงไทย ต้องใช้เวลาไม่ต่ำกว่า 24 ปี จากวันนี้..

แต่ถ้าลองมองให้ลึกลงไปที่พื้นฐานเรื่องต่างๆ
ก็จะพบว่า เวียดนามกำลังเติบโตด้วยศักยภาพเพิ่มมากขึ้นทุกที

ปัจจุบัน เวียดนามมีประชากรกว่า 97 ล้านคน
มากเป็นอันดับที่ 15 ของโลก และคาดว่าจะเพิ่มเป็น 111 ล้านคนในอีก 30 ปีข้างหน้า

ขณะที่ไทย มีประชากรประมาณ 69 ล้านคน
มากเป็นอันดับที่ 20 ของโลก และคาดว่าประชากรไทยจะไม่เพิ่มขึ้น ซึ่งจะอยู่ที่ 60-69 ล้านคน ในอีก 30 ปีข้างหน้า

ส่วนอายุเฉลี่ยของคนเวียดนามในวันนี้คือ 32 ปี ขณะที่อายุเฉลี่ยของคนไทยคือ 40 ปี

จำนวนประชากรในอนาคตของเวียดนามที่มากกว่าไทย
และอายุเฉลี่ยของคนเวียดนามที่น้อยกว่าไทย
อาจทำให้เวียดนามได้เปรียบกว่าประเทศไทยในหลายๆ ด้าน โดยเฉพาะด้านแรงงานเพื่อการผลิต

ปี 2020 เวียดนามมีจำนวนแรงงานเท่ากับ 58 ล้านคน
ขณะที่ของประเทศไทยอยู่ที่ 38 ล้านคน

ปริมาณแรงงานที่อายุน้อยและมีจำนวนมาก จึงทำให้ต้นทุนค่าแรงของเวียดนามต่ำกว่า เมื่อเทียบกับประเทศไทย

ค่าแรงขั้นต่ำของเวียดนามอยู่ที่ประมาณ 132-190 บาทต่อวัน
ขณะที่ค่าแรงขั้นต่ำของไทยอยู่ที่ประมาณ 313-336 บาทต่อวัน

ต้นทุนแรงงานที่ต่ำ เป็นหนึ่งในปัจจัยสำคัญ ที่ดึงดูดให้บริษัทต่างชาติย้ายฐานการผลิตไปลงในเวียดนามหลายรายในช่วงที่ผ่านมา ยกตัวอย่างเช่น

Samsung บริษัทเทคโนโลยีรายใหญ่จากเกาหลีใต้
LG บริษัทผู้ผลิตและจำหน่ายอุปกรณ์อิเล็กทรอนิกส์รายใหญ่จากเกาหลีใต้
Foxconn บริษัทผู้ผลิตและรับผลิตอุปกรณ์อิเล็กทรอนิกส์ให้กับ Apple
Panasonic บริษัทผู้ผลิตเครื่องใช้ไฟฟ้าขนาดใหญ่จากญี่ปุ่น

ซึ่งนอกจากปัจจัยเรื่องค่าแรงแล้ว ยังอาจมีอีกหลายๆ ปัจจัย ที่ทำให้เวียดนามสามารถดึงดูดเงินลงทุนเข้าประเทศได้ เช่น ทักษะแรงงาน และกฎหมาย กฎเกณฑ์ที่เอื้อต่อการย้ายฐานการผลิตเข้ามาลงทุนในประเทศ

ส่วนเรื่องการไหลเข้าของเงินลงทุนโดยตรงจากต่างชาติ หรือ Foreign direct investment (FDI) อย่างเช่นเงินลงทุนสำหรับตั้งโรงงานการผลิต ก็เป็นอีกตัวเลขที่น่าสนใจ

การลงทุนโดยตรงจากต่างประเทศ (FDI) ที่ไหลไปยังเวียดนาม
ในปี 2011 อยู่ที่ 222,000 ล้านบาท
ในปี 2019 อยู่ที่ 465,000 ล้านบาท

ขณะที่การลงทุนโดยตรงจากต่างประเทศ (FDI) ที่ไหลเข้ามาประเทศไทย
ในปี 2011 อยู่ที่ 74,100 ล้านบาท
ในปี 2019 อยู่ที่ 189,000 ล้านบาท

ขณะที่ของประเทศไทย หลังจากที่ยอด FDI เคยขึ้นไปสูงสุดที่ 477,000 ล้านบาท ในปี 2013 ก็ยังไม่เคยกลับไปจุดนั้นอีกเลยจนถึงวันนี้

มาถึงตรงนี้ ก็ต้องบอกว่า มีโอกาสไม่น้อยที่เวียดนามจะเติบโตต่อเนื่องอีกนานพอสมควร และยังอาจโตด้วยอัตราเฉลี่ยประมาณ 6% ต่อปี

และถ้าเศรษฐกิจไทยโตด้วยอัตราเฉลี่ยที่น้อยกว่าเดิม
เศรษฐกิจเวียดนาม อาจไล่ตามไทย ได้เร็วมากขึ้น
เช่น จาก 24 ปี เหลือ 20 ปี หรืออาจใช้เวลาน้อยกว่านั้น ถ้าเศรษฐกิจไทยอยู่กับที่..

ซึ่งคำถามที่ว่า เศรษฐกิจเวียดนาม จะแซงไทย จริงหรือ?
คำตอบคือ ถ้าช่วง 5-10 ปีนี้ ก็คงจะยังเป็นเรื่องยาก

แต่ถ้าในระยะยาว 20-30 ปี ข้างหน้า ก็ต้องยอมรับว่า “มีความเป็นได้” เหมือนกัน..
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References
-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)
-https://data.worldbank.org/country
-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Developing_country
-GDP growth (annual %) | Data (worldbank.org)
-https://e.vnexpress.net/news/business/economy/vietnam-gdp-growth-to-be-among-world-s-highest-in-2020-imf-4194065.html#:~:text=The%20International%20Monetary%20Fund%20has,percentage%20points%20to%202.4%20percent.
-https://www.thailand-business-news.com/economics/81636-thai-bank-revised-up-2020-gdp-forecasts-to-6-4-and-projected-2021-growth-at-3-3.html
-https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/population-by-country/
-https://www.statista.com/statistics/444584/average-age-of-the-population-in-vietnam/#:~:text=The%20median%20age%20in%20Vietnam,to%2041%20years%20by%202050.
-https://tradingeconomics.com/vietnam/labor-force-total-wb-data.html#:~:text=Labor%20force%2C%20total%20in%20Vietnam,compiled%20from%20officially%20recognized%20sources.
- https://www.bot.or.th/App/BTWS_STAT/statistics/BOTWEBSTAT.aspx?reportID=638&language=eng
-https://www.vietnam-briefing.com/news/vietnams-competitive-minimum-wages-how-fares-with-regional-peers.html/#:~:text=This%20year%20Vietnam%20increased%20its,%24190%20depending%20on%20the%20region.
-https://vietnamtimes.org.vn/more-foreign-manufacturers-move-to-vietnam-amid-covid-19-pandemic-19842.html#:~:text=Specifically%2C%20multinational%20companies%20such%20as,Vietnam%20rather%20than%20in%20China.
-https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-foxconn-vietnam-apple-exclusive/exclusive-foxconn-to-shift-some-apple-production-to-vietnam-to-minimise-china-risk-idUKKBN2860XN
-https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.KLT.DINV.CD.WD?locations=VN
-https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.KLT.DINV.CD.WD?locations=TH

Tags: imf gdp data

ลงทุนแมน

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imf gdp data 在 Mohd Asri Facebook 的精選貼文

By Mohd Asri

2014-11-02 08:22:59 有 115 人按讚

[BURSA REVERSED AND CLOSED OCTOBER STRONG, WALL STREET CLIMBED TO 1% OF RECORD HIGH, UPBEAT ECONOMIC AND CORPORATE DATA TO INSTILL MORE POSITIVE TONE]

Despite being overbought, we expect FBMKLCI to continue trending higher following a fresh wave of bullishness in the global equity markets (both MSCI All-World and FTSE All-World rose 1.8% and 1.7% w-o-w) as investors put aside recent uncertainties over the pace of global growth and the Federal Reserve’s intentions to end its asset purchase program. We note that global equity markets including Bursa closed October strong, after recovering from nine-week-poor-performance (with FBMKLCI finding support near 1760 level after dropping 130 points or 6.8%). Going forward, we expect local stocks to continue the solid rebound following USA economic optimism, bullish global economic (USA 3Q GDP growth/labour market/consumer confidence figures), China state enterprise reforms and Japanese liquidity pump priming which offset worries that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rate sooner than expected. End of year rotation and window dressing are also likely to push equities higher as mutual funds start selling losers and buying winners ahead of the traditionally bullish November-December-January festive seasons. Over the past week, we have seen the local stock market dip lower on profit-taking dragged by the cautious release of the latest US Federal Reserve hawkish meeting minutes and the IMF slower global growth forecast. Contrary to the earlier session sell -off, investors subsequently appeared to take a strong relief after the bullish Fed statement on USA economic strength. Positive tones can be seen in Asian region following China economic reforms despite talks of tough tightening to curb the flow of credit and burst the nation’s property bubble during the weekend’s meeting of China’s Communist party hierarchy. Meanwhile, stronger Japanese Nikkei supported by weaker yen and an optimistic tone from the Bank of Japan as well as talk that a major pension fund is looking to boost exposure into riskier assets should inspire a re-pricing of risk in the regional market and was seen as near term positive for Asian equity markets. There is a bullish report that Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund, the second largest global pension fund, considered a bellwether for Asian institutional investors, will reduce holdings of bonds and add foreign equities. The S&P 500 rose 2.5% taking the equity benchmark to within 1% of September’s record closing high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average put in a stronger performance, rising 2.3%, as Nasdaq rose 3% sharply on the back of a strong earnings report. Bursa has rebounded 4.5% from 17th October low after correcting 6.8% since July all time high of 1896.23. Across the Atlantic, the FTSE Eurofirst 300 rose 2.1%, leaving it some 9% above a 13-month low struck two weeks ago with stocks in Milan rallying 2.3% as concerns about Italy’s banking system appeared to ease. In Asia, Hong Kong and Shanghai rallied 1.6% and 2.1% respectively amid talk of further reforms at Chinese state-owned enterprises. Finally, Brazilian stocks captured 50,000 psycho level and rebounded 3.1% in response to Dilma Rousseff’s presidential election victory. On the domestic front, Bursa and construction stocks are the strongest sector driven by Budget 2015, improved prospects for fiscal consolidation, public finance reform as well as continued order book. Although technology and construction stocks showed slow market leadership early this year, they remain the major driver of the latest reversal and have been outperforming after National Budget Day on the 10th October. Further, small cap stocks continue to show upside leadership (FBMSmallCap, FBMFledgling and FBMAce outperform FBMKLCI and remain within 2% of their record high), a sign that Chinese New Year rally is about to start and should prop risk-taking sentiment in December- January despite several snags spotted in the blue chips counters. Five major news that may catalyse Bursa includes the following (1) AirAsia Bhd to propose RM1 bil sukuk mudharabah programme to support its business expansion, administrative and operating expenses (2) Berjaya to mull IPO of Singapore unit to spur growth in its foreign business (3) TM Bhd to expand its broadband infrastructure network as part of its aggressive Johor expansion programme (4) Faber Group Bhd to become one of the largest asset development and management players in the Asean region after completing RM1.5b merger with Opus Group Bhd and Projek Penyelenggaraan Lebuhraya Bhd and finally (5) LPI Capital Bhd to sell 4 mil of its Public Bank shares. On the technical front, the latest gain for the FBMKLCI took it back above its 50-day moving average for the first time in nearly a month, and left it just 2% below a record closing high reached in the middle of September. Meanwhile, major oscillators are overbought with daily stochastics turning lower from upper line levels while MACD close to flash negative crossover reinforcing a downside break ahead especially if FBMKLCI find near term resistance at 1850 which is also the 200 day moving average. The market however could take on a defensive posture if FBMKLCI reverse down and violate 1830 support level. While there is a potential for a short term dip in the market to rebalance overbought technical conditions, the prevailing trend points up with immediate target at 1850 and 1880 level. One way to look for signs of market stress is to look at breadth figures which so far remain positive suggesting more stocks participating in the rally. Hence, we believe any weakness is just temporary and should not be construed as the start of a new crisis downleg. Given the improved market breadth (average daily trade increase to 1.8bn shares worth RM1.9bn), we expect the local market to sustain gains going forward with immediate resistance spotted at psycho resistance of 1,850, August high of 1,880 and all-time-high of 1,896 while immediate support is pegged at September low near 1,830 level followed by 1,800 and 1,770 levels to immediately cushion any deeper profit taking. Finally, for the weekly strategy, we are inclined towards buying Chinese New Year linked small cap stocks such as MyEG, Timecom, GHLSys, Hapseng, KSL, SMRT, Tekseng, IFCA, Carepls, Bornoil, Nihsin, Perstim, SHL, Luxchem. As for blue chips, traders should accumulate holiday-season-beneficiaries-stocks which do well near the festive year end such as Tenaga, TM, Digi, Axiata, Aeon, Gamuda, IJM, Bursa and KLCC.

Dato' Dr Nazri Khan
First Vice President/Head of Retail Strategy,
Affin Hwang Investment Bank
President, Malaysian Association of Technical Analyst (MATA)

Tags: imf gdp data

Mohd Asri

About author

Mentor Pelaburan Saham #1 Malaysia. Beliau juga merupakan ikon BursaMarketPlace (by Bursa Malaysia)

看看搜尋的結果吧：

imf gdp data 在 IMF Data 的相關結果

Download time series data for GDP growth, inflation, unemployment, payments balances, exports, imports, external debt, capital flows, commodity prices. More ... ... <看更多>

imf gdp data 在 World Economic Outlook (October 2021) - Real GDP growth 的相關結果

Send comments and questions about. WEO data to: WEO Data Question. For all other questions,. go to: IMF Data page · International Monetary Fund. ... <看更多>

imf gdp data 在 Available Datasets Listed Alphabetically - IMF Data 的相關結果

PPP GDP weights from the WEO database are used for the aggregation of real GDP growth, real non-oil GDP growth, real per capita GDP growth, investment, ... ... <看更多>

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搜尋相關連結

#1. IMF Data

Download time series data for GDP growth, inflation, unemployment, payments balances, exports, imports, external debt, capital flows, commodity prices. More ...

#2. World Economic Outlook (October 2021) - Real GDP growth

Send comments and questions about. WEO data to: WEO Data Question. For all other questions,. go to: IMF Data page · International Monetary Fund.

#3. Available Datasets Listed Alphabetically - IMF Data

PPP GDP weights from the WEO database are used for the aggregation of real GDP growth, real non-oil GDP growth, real per capita GDP growth, investment, ...

#4. World Economic Outlook (October 2021) - GDP, current prices

IMF Live · International Monetary Fund. IMFDataMapper. Datasets. World Economic Outlook (October 2021). GDP, current prices ...

#5. World Economic Outlook Databases - International Monetary ...

The World Economic Outlook (WEO) database is created during the biannual WEO exercise, which begins in January and June of each year and results in the ...

#6. IMF Data Home Page

Data by Indicator. Key Indicators in Predefined Data. Tables. Featured Data. Data by Country/Economy. Predefined Data Tables by Country. Country.

#7. World Economic Outlook - International Monetary Fund

In 2021 global growth is projected at 5.4 percent. Overall, this would leave 2021 GDP some 6½ percentage points lower than in the pre-COVID-19 projections of ...

#8. World Economic Outlook (October 2021) - International ...

This version of the IMF Data Mapper contains only selected key indicators from the World Economic ... Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 7 Indicators, 1980 - 2026.

#9. International Financial Statistics - IMF Data

GDP, Gross Domestic Product, Real, Nominal, Deflator, Index, Growth, Change.

#10. Annual percent change - World Economic Outlook (October ...

IMF Live · International Monetary Fund. IMFDataMapper. Datasets. World Economic Outlook (October 2021). Real GDP growth ...

#11. IMF DataMapper

IMFData Mapper. Datasets. Datasets ... Global Debt Database. Indicators, 10. Time range, 1950 - 2020 ... Historical Public Debt Database. Indicators, 1.

#12. By Country - IMF Data

Data by Indicator. Key Indicators in Predefined Data. Tables. Balance of Payments and ... International Financial Statistics. Exchange Rates incl.

#13. Advanced economies - IMF DataMapper

World Economic Outlook (October 2021) 15 indicator s , 1980 - 2026. Collapse all. Real GDP growth. Annual percent change. Advanced economies ...

#14. World Economic Outlook, October 2021 - International ...

International Monetary Fund ... Overview; Projections Table; Chapters in the Report; Statistical appendix; GDP Growth; Data Tools; Videos.

#15. International Monetary Fund - Homepage

Guidance notes to manage the impact of the pandemic. IMF DataMapper. Plot and compare country data. World Economic Outlook · Fiscal Monitor · Africa Regional ...

#16. Fiscal Monitor (October 2021) - International Monetary Fund

Country-specific data and projections for key fiscal variables are based on the ... The seven largest advanced economies in terms of GDP (Canada, France, ...

#17. Denmark and the IMF

2022 Projected Real GDP (% Change) : 3.0; 2022 Projected Consumer Prices (% Change): 1.6; Country Population: ... Real GDP growth (Annual percent change).

#18. Germany and the IMF

2022 Projected Real GDP (% Change) : 3.8*; Country Population: 83.387 million ... *GDP Data from January 2022 World Economic Outlook Update ...

#19. Africa Regional Outlook - International Monetary Fund

IMFData Mapper ... Videos · Data · Publications · Social Media Hub · Annual Report · Copyright and Usage · Privacy Policy · Contact Us · Careers · Glossary ...

#20. IMF Data Sources

Selected Online IMF Data Sources ; GDP, GNI, yes no, yes ...

#21. Brazil and the IMF

Quota (SDR): 11042.0 million; Number of Arrangements since membership: 16. *GDP Data from January 2022 World Economic Outlook Update ...

#22. Indonesia and the IMF

After several years of strong growth, Indonesia's GDP fell 2.1 percent in 2020. While large, this downturn was smaller than other countries in... Read the ...

#23. France and the IMF

Quota (SDR): 20155.1 million; Number of Arrangements since membership: 3. *GDP Data from January 2022 World Economic Outlook Update ...

#24. GDP, Quarterly, IMF - Economic Data Series | FRED

100 economic data series with tags: GDP, Quarterly, IMF. FRED: Download, graph, and track economic data. Gross Domestic Product. International Monetary ...

#25. IMF raises GDP growth forecast by 50 bps to 9% for FY23

The multilateral agency expects an improvement in India's credit growth, which would boost consumption and investment. · India's GDP growth ...

#26. IMF Summary Data Page - CSO - Central Statistics Office

Latest Data. Data for previous period. % Year on Year Change. REAL SECTOR. National Accounts. GDP and GNI at current prices. GDP at current market prices.

#27. International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook - Google

International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook. Data from IMF, October 2014 WEO. International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook.

#28. GDP Forecast by Country | Statistics from IMF | 2021-2025

2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 9 United Kingdom 3,535.1 3,688.7 3,833.9 3,976.4 4,119.7 1 China 29,375.3 31,661.3 34,082.2 36,603.0 39,204.8 2 United States 24,796.1 25,938.2 26,980.4 28,035.1 29,102.5

#29. IMF raises GDP forecast for Taiwan to 5.9%

Washington, Oct. 12 (CNA) The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised its forecast for Taiwan's gross domestic product (GDP) growth for ...

#30. IMF cuts India's GDP growth forecast to 9.5% for FY22 - The ...

This forecast for 2021-22 is lower than the 12.5% growth in GDP that IMF had projected in April before the second wave took a grip.

#31. Domestic credit to private sector (% of GDP) | Data

International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics and data files, and World Bank and OECD GDP estimates. License : CC BY-4.0. LineBarMap.

#32. IMF increases global growth forecast, says crisis end ... - CNBC

For advanced economies, the IMF estimated growth of 5.1%, ... Looking further ahead, global GDP for 2022 is seen increasing by 4.4%, ...

#33. IMF trims 2021 GDP forecast, citing 'vaccine divide,' inflation

The International Monetary Fund expects global economic growth in 2021 to fall slightly below its July forecast of 6%, IMF chief Kristalina ...

#34. IMF ups India's FY22 GDP growth forecast to 12.5 per cent

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its FY22 growth forecast for India to 12.5% from 11.5% estimated earlier in January, ...

#35. Domestic product - GDP long-term forecast - OECD Data

Gross domestic product (GDP) given as long-term baseline projections up to 2060.

#36. GDP - International Comparisons: Key Economic Indicators

In its new set of forecasts published 25 January, the IMF lowered its UK 2022 GDP growth forecast to 4.7% from 5.0% at its previous October ...

#37. The world economy in 2020—the IMF gets it mostly right

Indermit Gill reviews the IMF's World Economic Outlook for 2020 and ... it is likely that annual global GDP growth will be negative for ...

#38. Imf Raises India'S Growth Forecast To 9% For Fy23 - CNBC ...

IMF has pegged India's FY22 real GDP growth at 9 percent, 0.5 percentage points lower than its previous forecast of 9.5 percent released in ...

#39. IMF cuts India's growth forecast for FY22 to 9.5% from its ...

The global growth forecast remained unchanged at 6% for the ... IMF slashes India growth forecast to 9.5% for 2022 in its July update ...

#40. List of countries by GDP (nominal) - Wikipedia

Country/Territory Subregion Region Estimate Year Estimate Year Estimate United States Northern America Americas 22,939,580 2021 20,893,746 2020 20,936... China Eastern Asia Asia 16,862,979 2021 14,722,801 2020 14,722... Japan Eastern Asia Asia 5,103,110 2021 5,057,759 2020 4,975,415

#41. Explained: Why IMF slashed India's growth forecast sharply in ...

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has slashed India's growth ... Here are the factors that led to IMF slashing India's GDP growth ...

#42. Summary table details (SIE, Banco de México)

SDDS Data Category and Component Unit Description Date of Latest Latest data Latest... * GDP constant prices Billion 2013 pesos Q3/21 17,567 17,995 * GDP current prices Billion pesos Q3/21 26,064 26,211 Production Index Index 2013=100 Dec/2021 97.3 98.3

#43. Economic Impact of COVID-19 on PEPFAR Countries | KFF

We used data from the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) World Economic Outlook (WEO), on GDP and GDP growth projections for 53 countries ...

#44. IMF revises up Pakistan's real GDP growth rate to 3.9% - The ...

ISLAMABAD: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday revised up its projection for Pakistan's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth ...

#45. IMF cuts India's growth forecast to 9.5% from 12.5% for FY ...

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday slashed India's economic growth forecast to 9.5% from earlier 12.5% for the 2021-22 fiscal ...

#46. IMF upgrades 2020 global GDP forecast; US downturn seen ...

The world is estimated to rebound with 5.2% growth next year, 0.2 percentage point lower than the prior forecast.

#47. IMF head: Dire economic forecasts may be too optimistic - BBC

Covid-19's impact on global growth could be even worse than feared, ... the economy or GDP per capita - would be going up in 160 countries.

#48. Global GDP 2014-2024 - Gross domestic product - Statista

GDP is significant in determining the economic health, growth and productivity in the country, and is a stat often used when comparing several countries at a ...

#49. 'Bad sign' as IMF withholds Ethiopia growth forecast - African ...

The IMF has failed to update data on the Ethiopia's economic recovery ... the IMF has not released a GDP growth forecast for Ethiopia in its ...

#50. IMF revises its 2010 estimate for real GDP growth to 7.6%

Access the latest economic data and analysis for Zambia's economy including GDP growth from The Economist Intelligence Unit.

#51. IMF sees Indian economy growing 11.5% in 2021 - Business ...

The IMF revised higher the forecast for India's growth in 2021 by 2.7 percentage points.

#52. Press Release - Reserve Bank of India

... to projections made by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). ... In India, real GDP growth at 9.2 per cent for 2021-22 takes it ...

#53. International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook - Google

GDP based on PPP per capita GDP · GDP based on PPP share of world total (%) · GDP based on PPP valuation of country GDP · GDP per capita, current ...

#54. India is now the world's 5th largest economy, according to IMF

When ranked by nominal GDP, the country leapfrogged France and the UK. The country's GDP growth has been among the highest in the world in the ...

#55. KNOEMA: Economy Data Atlas - Snowflake

Real GDP growth – Inflation rate – Unemployment rate – Productivity – GDP by expenditure. Sources include IMF, UN, World Bank, OECD, BEA, BIS, BLS, ILO, ...

#56. BALANCE OF PAYMENT: IMF reveals 3% negative net ...

The International Monetary Fund (IMF), yesterday, released its 2020 Annual Report on Balance of Payments Statistics, say.

#57. Government Spending - Our World in Data

In the US, public spending as a share of GDP was 10.5% in 1941, then went up to ... The IMF, through its Government Finance Statistics Manuals and Guides, ...

#58. IMF calls on Nigeria to remove fuel subsidies | Argus Media

Still, this is better for Abuja than last year, when the IMF estimates that the sector was a drain on GDP growth, and better than 2020 when the economy ...

#59. The Search for Sustainable Solutions to Debt Accumulation in ...

FIGURE 1: Government Debt in Sub-Saharan Africa (as % of GDP). * Fiscal year data; 2021 and 2022 data are IMF estimates. Data Source: AFR ...

#60. with the 'pressure on', what do local economic targets say ...

China's national gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate target for 2022 ... economy in the world in 2021, according to the IMF database, ...

#61. The Annual Report Of The IMF Committee On Balance Of ...

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released the 2021 Annual Report of the IMF ... impacted global GDP, but also reduced the quality of source data.

#62. IMF DSBB ARC - Statistics Korea

Real Sector ; National accounts(Q):GDP at current prices, Dec/31/2021, 03(Q4/21).

#63. IMF sees lacklustre South African growth in medium term

Economic growth is projected at 1.9% in 2022 after an estimated 4.6% rebound in 2021, but it is seen easing to 1.4% in the medium term, the IMF ...

#64. IMF Releases Most Pessimistic Economic Projections for the ...

Meanwhile, the IMF projects that China will experience growth of 1.0 percent in real GDP in 2020, making it one of only two countries (along ...

#65. Global Economics Intelligence executive summary, January ...

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects 5.9% global growth for 2021. The US economy had a very strong fourth quarter, with GDP ...

#66. File:Countries by Real GDP Growth Rate in 2018.png

The data is from the IMF's April 2020 World Economic Outlook Database. The map itself was made in mapchart.net, then was edited in Gimp. Date ...

#67. The World Economic Forum

The World Economic Forum is an independent international organization committed to improving the state of the world by engaging business, political, ...

#68. The IMF cannot solve Argentina's dysfunction | The Economist

Between 1998 and 2002 GDP tumbled by nearly 20%, ... Argentina's economy enjoyed a decade of strong growth, powered by a global boom in ...

#69. Reform could bring 3% growth, says IMF - BusinessLIVE

... the IMF's economists see an upside scenario in which growth hits 3.6% by 2025 and the public debt ratio subsides to below 65% of GDP, ...

#70. Visualizing the State of Global Debt, by Country

... the extent of global debt, we've compiled debt-to-GDP data by country from the most recent World Economic Outlook report by the IMF.

#71. IMF says Morocco's GDP to grow 3% over next few years

Cairo: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects Morocco's GDP to grow at around 3% over the next few years, the fund said in a ...

#72. The Thoughts of IMF via its Article IV on Nigeria - Proshare

For national output, the Fund projects a GDP growth of 2.7% for 2022. Non-oil growth is projected to broaden but remain sluggish due to inward ...

#73. IMF says country on course for medium-term upturn, with risks

“Tourism has rebounded in recent months, leading to real GDP (Gross Domestic Product) growth of 1.4 per cent for 2021 and 11.5 per cent in ...

#74. IMF Management Completes Second Review of the Staff ...

Guinea Bissau's economic conditions are improving. After a modest GDP growth of 1.5 percent in 2020, growth is projected to accelerate to 3.8 ...

#75. GDP and GDP per capita in China and other countries (data ...

Download Table | GDP and GDP per capita in China and other countries (data from IMF) from publication: International Comparisons of the Service Industry— ...

#76. imf gdp | Hoot |

imf gdp. 2/3/2011 · The IMF publishes a range of time series data on IMF lending, exchange rates and other economic and financial indicators.

#77. Nigeria's Capacity To Repay Us Is Adequate – IMF - Channels ...

“They encouraged addressing data gaps to allow timely and clear ... fiscal deficit is projected to widen in 2021 to 5.9 per cent of GDP, ...

#78. Economic growth in 2022 no mean feat - The Bangkok Post

... projected Thailand would see GDP growth of 3.5-4% this year. ... Monetary Fund (IMF) slashed its global economic growth outlook for 2022 ...

#79. EU slashes eurozone growth forecast as headwinds jack up ...

In its regular economic forecasts, the European Commission said gross domestic product (GDP) in the 19 countries sharing the euro would grow 4% ...

#80. China's 31 provinces announce robust GDP growth targets for ...

South China's Hainan Province set their 2022 GDP growth rate at 9 percent. In 2021, Hainan's GDP posted a stellar expansion of 11.2 percent, ...

#81. Jordan to push ahead with IMF-backed reforms to spur growth

The deficit was earmarked to fall to 3.1 % of GDP in the 2022 budget, the IMF said. Many parliamentarians, during a six-day session, ...

#82. FinMin hopeful of consumption, private investment picking up

IMF revises country's projected GDP growth upwards to 9 per cent in 2022-23, despite lowering global growth estimate.

#83. IMF projects Nigeria to spend 92% of revenue on interest ...

The debt-to-GDP ratio is expected to increase in the medium term to 43 per cent of GDP, despite favourable growth-interest rate dynamics.

#84. Personal Services Global Market Report 2022 - Yahoo Finance

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the global real GDP growth reached 3.7% in 2019 and 2020, and is expected to reach 3.6% ...

#85. Total trade in services - UNCTAD Handbook of Statistics 2021

In 2020, global services exports were valued at US$5 trillion, representing 5.9 per cent of world GDP and 22.6 per cent of total world trade ...

#86. South Africa Weighs Taking on Eskom's $26 Billion Debt, IMF ...

Transfers to Eskom averaged about 1% of GDP in the past two fiscal years, while its government-guaranteed loan facility stands at about 6% of ...

#87. Trifecta of woes: IMF sees SOEs, public wages, and inte...

But the International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects the deficit will remain elevated at over 7% of GDP until 2025. Overall public debt is seen ...

#88. TRADING ECONOMICS | 20 million INDICATORS FROM 196 ...

Get free indicators, Historical Data, Charts, News and Forecasts for 196 countries. ... Country, GDP, GDP YoY, GDP QoQ, Interest rate, Inflation rate ...

#89. Behind the Scenes with Data at the IMF: An IEO Evaluation

Discrepancies Among IMF Data Sources (In percent of number of countries)1 ... Total Total 74.6 75.0 74.8 61.3 77.5 70.4 Real GDP growth rate 10–30 12.7 18.8 ...

#90. IMF Staff papers: Volume 44 No. 1 - 第 61 頁 - Google 圖書結果

1 International Monetary Fund. ... The GDP data , as well 3 In a simple moving average , the size of the window is the number of lags over which the data ...

#91. IMF Staff papers, Volume 42 No. 3 - 第 635 頁 - Google 圖書結果

International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. income across the nine countries . However , the dispersion of real per capita GDP , which excludes such ...

#92. IMF Survey: Volume 26 1997 - 第 43 頁 - Google 圖書結果

IMFSURVEY From the Executive Board Following are excerpts of recent IMF press ... The program for 1997-99 aims at achieving an annual real GDP growth of 5 ...

#93. The IMF and the Future - 第 157 頁 - Google 圖書結果

Appendix: Data definitions Dependent variables Net foreign direct investment: net foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP.

#94. The IMF and Argentina, 1991-2001 - 第 87 頁 - Google 圖書結果

First, data requirements are quite stringent for both fiscal and external sustainability analyses, but particularly for sensitivity analysis in the fiscal ...

#95. The IMF, World Bank and Policy Reform - 第 71 頁 - Google 圖書結果

In light of this fall in investment, the decline in GDP per capita growth witnessed in all five countries during the 1980s seems inevitable.