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u.s. real gdp growth 在貓的成長美股異想世界 Facebook 的最佳貼文

2021-07-30 11:03:33 有 126 人按讚

今天, 應該是最炫最酷的一家公司, Robinhood, 上市的一天. 它獲利了嗎? 我想沒有多少投資人會care. 最關心的, 應該是它的營收成長率, 還有股價.

在我們一直追逐科技成長股, 被他們的高營收成長率, 潛在的高報酬昏眩的時候, 會不會忘記他們醜得要命的財務報表?

而在今年, 大家追逐的這些趨勢股表現不佳的時候, 是不是也給了我們一些省思?

其實美股中, 還有很多財務報表漂亮, 但聽起來一點也不有趣(甚至很無聊)的公司, 但他們股價穩定, 長期下來, 也給了投資人很大的回報. 像之前介紹過的POOL, 過去幾年也是平均一年翻一倍的漲幅.

而在IPO中, 也有這類的好公司.

Carrier Global(CARR), 2020年4月上市的IPO, 算是工業類股, 漲了快5倍. 有在獲利. (開利冷氣應該有聽過?就是這家公司)

Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO), 民生消費股, 也有獲利, 2020年10月上市的IPO, 目前也漲了3倍.

下面這篇文章挺好. 與大家分享. 就像文章作者所提的, 龜兔賽跑, 穩(漲)的烏龜, 不一定會輸.

也祝福大家找到&培養自己的能力圈, 穩穩獲利.

Jim Cramer: The Biggest Thing That Happened Thursday Was the Boring Stuff

No, it wasn't Robinhood or the mega-cap tech companies, it was names we depend on like Carrier Global.
By JIM CRAMER Jul 29, 2021 | 03:38 PM EDT

Stocks quotes in this article: HOOD, FB, PYPL, CARR, RTX, NUE, AGCO, ZM, ALGN, AAPL, EBAY, AMD, XLNX

One of the most glorious things I have seen involving the stock market in ages happened today.

Was it Vlad Tenev ringing the opening bell for his breakthrough, disruptive Robinhood (HOOD) , representing 22 million mostly young new investors? Was it the free-for-all decline in the stock of the "F" in FAANG, Facebook (FB) ? Or the clobbering that Paypal (PYPL) took after what looked to be a good quarter?

Nah. I was bumping into Dave Gitlin, CEO of Carrier Global (CARR) , and his charming daughter, a college student at the University of Wisconsin. They were calmly waiting for me to finish "Squawk on the Street" to say, "Hi," and I couldn't be more thrilled. Because unlike the much ballyhooed Robinhood deal, which seems like a bust, Carrier Global came public back in April 2020 at $12 and today, after tremendous earnings, not sales, but earnings, it made an all-time high at $53, after reporting a terrific number with tremendous HVAC sales, up 31%, and an earnings surprise of 55 cents vs. the 30 cents that Wall Street was expecting.

Carrier, which was spun off when United Technologies merged with Raytheon (RTX) had some tailwinds, like the need to have clean air inside, because of the pandemic and clear air outside because office buildings are responsible for 40% of carbon emissions. But the huge upside surprise and the gigantic buyback belonged to Dave and his team and I that's what I told his daughter. I made sure she knew how proud she should be about how this man made so much money for people. Twelve to 53 in 15 months time is the name of the game.

Look, I am not trying to take away from anything that Robinhood and its co-founder and CEO Vlad Tenev have created. Far from it. They have created billions for themselves and are now letting people participate in their great sales growth. You got a chance to pay a fortune per share and many Robinhoodies did, as tons of stock was allocated to the 22 million people who joined Robinhood, because of a bang up app that every young person seems to know.

I am simply saying that HVAC, yep heating, ventilation and air conditioning is one of the most boring businesses on earth and at times like today, with all of the hoopla of Robinhood it is easy to forget is how lots of money can be made being boring, and I like that. The most exciting thing that happened this year is Carrier helped provide refrigeration for vaccines. That's just fine with me.

Unlike Robinhood, Carrier hasn't brought anyone into the stock market. It's more laser-like focus on air conditioning once spun off from Raytheon means nothing to people. Just Wall Street gibberish. But you have probably walked by a Carrier machine thousands of times and never thought anything of it. Yet, you could have bought it for a song at six times earnings instead of 25 times sales.

The Carriers, with CEOs who pay themselves lavishly but perhaps not excessively, or the Nucor's (NUE) the steel company that's also well managed and sells at six times earnings, represent valuable properties, especially when the U.S. government is about to agree on a trillion dollar infrastructure bill and the country has more than 6% GDP. We don't know why they are re-opening trades or closing trades, delta-variant trades or building and bridge investments. Forgive me, though for comparing the company of Robinhood, with something that may stay special for a while vs. companies that get described as venerable, solid and built to last.

These companies are not rarities. You know people have to eat, right? You know that there would be famine without farming. So why not buy the stock of Agco (AGCO) , No. 2 farm equipment, which went from $40 to $130 in a year and a half without ever being expensive. Combines too boring? Again fine with me. Now that the masks are off -- or at least in some places, although Zoom (ZM) is still crushing it -- I, like many others, including my daughter, didn't like how her teeth looked even as, to me, they were perfect. Dentists tell you to get Align (ALGN) . I wanted them on "Mad Money" but the show was just too darned jammed. The stock's up the most in the S&P 500, with a product that, again, like the Purloined Letter, is right in front of you.

I love tech. Created the term FANG, added the "A" when it was clear that Apple (AAPL) had to take the acronymic stage between another "A" and an "N." I am proud that those who bet against me on Twitter, the legion, are betting against FAANG. I wrote obituaries for a goodly time in my career as a reporter but I never wrote as many as have been penned to talk about the group has already made the ultimate measure on behalf of shareholders.

Oh and it's not like I don't like tech or fin tech. I felt the slings and arrows of Facebook and PayPal today. Facebook's management once again lowered the boom on its future talking about real deceleration in growth. I thought it was too dire. PayPal's Dan Schulman talked about how the separation with its former partner, eBay (EBAY) gets done now and earnings will be hurt. This was one of the least revelatory surprises ever. I think both are practicing UPOD, Underpromising to Overdeliver, and, sure this time might be different, but it's sure been the way they have handled it in the past.

Far better to be in the straight out blow outs like Advance Micro (AMD) which had still one more banner day, this time because the company it is buying, the dowdy Xilinx (XLNX) , a sleepy semiconductor company, had tremendous earnings. The two together could be unassailable and even as AMD is now richly valued it is deservingly so.

I can't wait to hear Vlad Tenev's reflection on Robinhood's debut as a public company and about the novel offering that gave millions of shares to his clients. Vlad's not so much a rags to riches American story. He's a poor Bulgarian to insanely rich American because of his on ingenuity. That's a story with celebrating in itself.

I am simply pointing out that unlike Vlad, whom you would have had invested with when you weren't allowed or able to, Dave Gitlin sure didn't keep you out of the better bet, the stock of HVAC king Carrier.

You did.

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貓的成長美股異想世界

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旅美Cat談趨勢, 談企業經營管理, 談自己做的[美股, 人生]功課, 也談美國所見所聞. 希望我的內容能夠帶給您知識, 讓您增廣見聞, 讓您有所啟發, 甚至在財富上有成長. 也歡迎大家分享與交流.

u.s. real gdp growth 在護台胖犬劉仕傑 Facebook 的最佳貼文

By 護台胖犬劉仕傑

2019-10-04 12:16:07 有 492 人按讚

【黎安友專文 l 中國如何看待香港危機】

美國哥倫比亞大學的資深中國通黎安友（Andrew Nathan）教授最近在《外交事務》（Foreign Affairs）雜誌的專文，值得一看。

黎安友是台灣許多中國研究學者的前輩級老師，小英總統去哥大演講時，正是他積極促成。小英在美國的僑宴，黎安友也是座上賓。

這篇文章的標題是：「中國如何看待香港危機：北京自我克制背後的真正原因」。

文章很長，而且用英文寫，需要花點時間閱讀。大家有空可以看看。

Andrew這篇文章的立論基礎，是來自北京核心圈的匿名說法。以他在學術界的地位，我相信他對消息來源已經做了足夠的事實查核或確認。

這篇文章，是在回答一個疑問：中共為何在香港事件如此自制？有人說是怕西方譴責，有人說是怕損害香港的金融地位。

都不是。這篇文章認為，上述兩者都不是中共的真實顧慮。

無論你多痛恨中共，你都必須真實面對你的敵人。

中共是搞經濟階級鬥爭起家的，當年用階級鬥爭打敗國民黨。而現在，中共正用這樣的思維處理香港議題。

文章有一句話：“China’s response has been rooted not in anxiety but in confidence.” 這句話道盡階級鬥爭的精髓。

中共一點都不焦慮。相反地，中共很有自信，香港的菁英階級及既得利益的收編群體，到最後會支持中共。

這個分化的心理基礎，來自經濟上的利益。

文中還提到，鄧小平當年給香港五十年的一國兩制，就是為了「給香港足夠的時間適應中共的政治系統」。

1997年，香港的GDP佔中國的18%。2018年，這個比例降到2.8%。

今日的香港經濟，在中共的評估，是香港需要中國，而不是中國需要香港。

中共正在在意的，是香港的高房價問題。香港的房價，在過去十年內三倍翻漲。

文章是這樣描述：
“Housing prices have tripled over the past decade; today, the median price of a house is more than 20 times the median gross annual household income. The median rent has increased by nearly 25 percent in the past six years. As many as 250,000 people are waiting for public housing. At the same time, income growth for many Hong Kong residents has fallen below the overall increase in cost of living.”

無論你同不同意這些說法，都請你試圖客觀地看看這篇文章。

有趣的是，黎安友在文章中部分論點引述了他的消息來源（但他並沒有加上個人評論），部分是他自己的觀察。

#護台胖犬劉仕傑
Instagram: old_dog_chasing_ball

新書：《我在外交部工作》

**

黎安友原文：

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2019-09-30/how-china-sees-hong-kong-crisis?fbclid=IwAR2PwHns5gWrw0fT0sa5LuO8zgv4PhLmkYfegtBgoOMCD3WJFI3w5NTe0S4

How China Sees the Hong Kong Crisis
The Real Reasons Behind Beijing’s Restraint

By Andrew J. Nathan September 30, 2019

Massive and sometimes violent protests have rocked Hong Kong for over 100 days. Demonstrators have put forward five demands, of which the most radical is a call for free, direct elections of Hong Kong’s chief executive and all members of the territory’s legislature: in other words, a fully democratic system of local rule, one not controlled by Beijing. As this brazen challenge to Chinese sovereignty has played out, Beijing has made a show of amassing paramilitary forces just across the border in Shenzhen. So far, however, China has not deployed force to quell the unrest and top Chinese leaders have refrained from making public threats to do so.

Western observers who remember the violent crackdown on pro-democracy demonstrators in Tiananmen Square 30 years ago have been puzzled by Beijing’s forbearance. Some have attributed Beijing’s restraint to a fear of Western condemnation if China uses force. Others have pointed to Beijing’s concern that a crackdown would damage Hong Kong’s role as a financial center for China.

But according to two Chinese scholars who have connections to regime insiders and who requested anonymity to discuss the thinking of policymakers in Beijing, China’s response has been rooted not in anxiety but in confidence. Beijing is convinced that Hong Kong’s elites and a substantial part of the public do not support the demonstrators and that what truly ails the territory are economic problems rather than political ones—in particular, a combination of stagnant incomes and rising rents. Beijing also believes that, despite the appearance of disorder, its grip on Hong Kong society remains firm. The Chinese Communist Party has long cultivated the territory’s business elites (the so-called tycoons) by offering them favorable economic access to the mainland. The party also maintains a long-standing loyal cadre of underground members in the territory. And China has forged ties with the Hong Kong labor movement and some sections of its criminal underground. Finally, Beijing believes that many ordinary citizens are fearful of change and tired of the disruption caused by the demonstrations.

Beijing therefore thinks that its local allies will stand firm and that the demonstrations will gradually lose public support and eventually die out. As the demonstrations shrink, some frustrated activists will engage in further violence, and that in turn will accelerate the movement’s decline. Meanwhile, Beijing is turning its attention to economic development projects that it believes will address some of the underlying grievances that led many people to take to the streets in the first place.

This view of the situation is held by those at the very top of the regime in Beijing, as evidenced by recent remarks made by Chinese President Xi Jinping, some of which have not been previously reported. In a speech Xi delivered in early September to a new class of rising political stars at the Central Party School in Beijing, he rejected the suggestion of some officials that China should declare a state of emergency in Hong Kong and send in the People’s Liberation Army. “That would be going down a political road of no return,” Xi said. “The central government will exercise the most patience and restraint and allow the [regional government] and the local police force to resolve the crisis.” In separate remarks that Xi made around the same time, he spelled out what he sees as the proper way to proceed: “Economic development is the only golden key to resolving all sorts of problems facing Hong Kong today.”

ONE COUNTRY, TWO SYSTEMS, MANY QUESTIONS

Chinese decision-makers are hardly surprised that Hong Kong is chafing under their rule. Beijing believes it has treated Hong Kong with a light hand and has supported the territory’s economy in many ways, especially by granting it special access to the mainland’s stocks and currency markets, exempting it from the taxes and fees that other Chinese provinces and municipalities pay the central government, and guaranteeing a reliable supply of water, electricity, gas, and food. Even so, Beijing considers disaffection among Hong Kong’s residents a natural outgrowth of the territory’s colonial British past and also a result of the continuing influence of Western values. Indeed, during the 1984 negotiations between China and the United Kingdom over Hong Kong’s future, the Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping suggested following the approach of “one country, two systems” for 50 years precisely to give people in Hong Kong plenty of time to get used to the Chinese political system.

But “one country, two systems” was never intended to result in Hong Kong spinning out of China’s control. Under the Basic Law that China crafted as Hong Kong’s “mini-constitution,” Beijing retained the right to prevent any challenge to what it considered its core security interests. The law empowered Beijing to determine if and when Hong Kongers could directly elect the territory’s leadership, allowed Beijing to veto laws passed by the Hong Kong Legislative Council, and granted China the right to make final interpretations of the Basic Law. And there would be no question about who had a monopoly of force. During the negotiations with the United Kingdom, Deng publicly rebuked a top Chinese defense official—General Geng Biao, who at the time was a patron of a rising young official named Xi Jinping—for suggesting that there might not be any need to put troops in Hong Kong. Deng insisted that a Chinese garrison was necessary to symbolize Chinese sovereignty.

Statements made by U.S. politicians in support of the recent demonstrations only confirm Beijing’s belief that Washington seeks to inflame radical sentiments in Hong Kong.

At first, Hong Kongers seemed to accept their new role as citizens of a rising China. In 1997, in a tracking poll of Hong Kong residents regularly conducted by researchers at the University of Hong Kong, 47 percent of respondents identified themselves as “proud” citizens of China. But things went downhill from there. In 2012, the Hong Kong government tried to introduce “patriotic education” in elementary and middle schools, but the proposed curriculum ran into a storm of local opposition and had to be withdrawn. In 2014, the 79-day Umbrella Movement brought hundreds of thousands of citizens into the streets to protest Beijing’s refusal to allow direct elections for the chief executive. And as authoritarianism has intensified under Xi’s rule, events such as the 2015 kidnapping of five Hong Kong–based publishers to stand trial in the mainland further soured Hong Kong opinion. By this past June, only 27 percent of respondents to the tracking poll described themselves as “proud” to be citizens of China. This year’s demonstrations started as a protest against a proposed law that would have allowed Hong Kongers suspected of criminal wrongdoing to be extradited to the mainland but then developed into a broad-based expression of discontent over the lack of democratic accountability, police brutality, and, most fundamentally, what was perceived as a mainland assault on Hong Kong’s unique identity.

Still, Chinese leaders do not blame themselves for these shifts in public opinion. Rather, they believe that Western powers, especially the United States, have sought to drive a wedge between Hong Kong and the mainland. Statements made by U.S. politicians in support of the recent demonstrations only confirm Beijing’s belief that Washington seeks to inflame radical sentiments in Hong Kong. As Xi explained in his speech in September:
As extreme elements in Hong Kong turn more and more violent, Western forces, especially the United States, have been increasingly open in their involvement. Some extreme anti-China forces in the United States are trying to turn Hong Kong into the battleground for U.S.-Chinese rivalry…. They want to turn Hong Kong's high degree of autonomy into de facto independence, with the ultimate objective to contain China's rise and prevent the revival of the great Chinese nation.

Chinese leaders do not fear that a crackdown on Hong Kong would inspire Western antagonism. Rather, they take such antagonism as a preexisting reality—one that goes a long way toward explaining why the disorder in Hong Kong broke out in the first place. In Beijing’s eyes, Western hostility is rooted in the mere fact of China’s rise, and thus there is no use in tailoring China’s Hong Kong strategy to influence how Western powers would respond.

IT’S NOT ABOUT THE BENJAMINS

The view that Xi has not deployed troops because of Hong Kong’s economic importance to the mainland is also misguided, and relies on an outdated view of the balance of economic power. In 1997, Hong Kong’s GDP was equivalent to 18 percent of the mainland’s. Most of China’s foreign trade was conducted through Hong Kong, providing China with badly needed hard currencies. Chinese companies raised most of their capital on the Hong Kong stock exchange. Today, things are vastly different. In 2018, Hong Kong’s GDP was equal to only 2.7 percent of the mainland’s. Shenzhen alone has overtaken Hong Kong in terms of GDP. Less than 12 percent of China’s exports now flow through Hong Kong. The combined market value of China’s domestic stock exchanges in Shanghai and Shenzhen far surpasses that of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, and Chinese companies can also list in Frankfurt, London, New York, and elsewhere.

Although Hong Kong remains the largest offshore clearing center for renminbi, that role could easily be filled by London or Singapore, if Chinese leaders so desired.
Investment flowing into and out of China still tends to pass through financial holding vehicles set up in Hong Kong, in order to benefit from the region’s legal protections. But China’s new foreign investment law (which will take effect on January 1, 2020) and other recent policy changes mean that such investment will soon be able to bypass Hong Kong. And although Hong Kong remains the largest offshore clearing center for renminbi, that role could easily be filled by London or Singapore, if Chinese leaders so desired.

Wrecking Hong Kong’s economy by using military force to impose emergency rule would not be a good thing for China. But the negative effect on the mainland’s prosperity would not be strong enough to prevent Beijing from doing whatever it believes is necessary to maintain control over the territory.

CAN’T BUY ME LOVE?

As it waits out the current crisis, Beijing has already started tackling the economic problems that it believes are the source of much of the anger among Hong Kongers. Housing prices have tripled over the past decade; today, the median price of a house is more than 20 times the median gross annual household income. The median rent has increased by nearly 25 percent in the past six years. As many as 250,000 people are waiting for public housing. At the same time, income growth for many Hong Kong residents has fallen below the overall increase in cost of living.

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護台胖犬劉仕傑

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時代力量國際中心主任台南一中台大政治系清大中國研究碩士英國牛津大學外交官培訓專班前台灣職業外交官曾派駐洛杉磯與帛琉著有【我在外交部工作】

u.s. real gdp growth 在中央研究院 Academia Sinica Facebook 的最佳解答

By 中央研究院 Academia Sinica

2018-12-05 15:29:25 有 61 人按讚

⭐ 明年真的可以發大財嗎？⭐　
　　　　　　
本院經濟所發布2019年臺灣經濟情勢預測結果：
　　　　
我國出口需求及消費動能相對減弱，第三季實質GDP年成長率僅達2.27%，預期2018年經濟成長率將微幅調降為2.64%。展望2019年，全球經濟前景仍因貿易戰紛擾與中國需求放緩，加以美國減稅政策效應遞減，以及金融情勢轉趨緊縮，全球經濟成長動能將有所趨緩。

預估2019年實質經濟成長率為2.45%📊

💰物價：1至10月的消費者物價指數(CPI)較去年同期成長1.60%，核心消費者物價指數於相同期間則為1.34%，顯示物價仍相對穩定。

💱貨幣供給：10月雖受股災衝擊而使國內資金需求下滑，然累計前10個月M1B及M2年增率分別為5.30%及3.60%，顯示市場資金仍呈適度寬鬆。

👥勞動市場：今年前10個月之平均失業率為3.71%，顯示就業情況良好，情勢穩定。

國際情勢不明的情況下，我國政府積極推動重大公共工程建設、促進投資及強化內需產業發展等擴張性財政政策之實質效果，將成為臺灣經濟成長動能是否延續的重要關鍵。
　　
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Due to the heating up of China-U.S. trade conflict and more dramatic fluctuations in international financial markets, the pace of expansion in the global economy has shown instability and the downside risk is gradually getting realized, suppressing the growth momentum. Whist the U.S. economic performance is strong, growth of other major advanced economies such as Europe and Japan are not as strong as anticipated.
　　　　
The slowdown in China's economic growth partly due to the trade war is resulting in weak demand in both export and domestic markets. As for Taiwan, the real GDP grew by 2.27% (year-on-year) in the third quarter of 2018 as consumption weakened and export markets were affected adversely by the trade war.
　　　　
Therefore, the revised estimate of economic growth rate in 2018 is 2.64%. Looking forward to 2019, the global economic outlook is still suffering from the risk of trade wars, slowdown in China's demand, diminishing effects of the U.S. tax cuts and a tightening in financial markets, implying the global growth momentum will continue to slow. We expect the real GDP growth of 2.45% in 2019.

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中文新聞稿：https://www.sinica.edu.tw/ch/news/6076
English: https://www.sinica.edu.tw/en/news/6076

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中央研究院 Academia Sinica

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這裡是由【中央研究院媒體小組】經營的平台，作為中研院好朋友們交流互動用，幾點注意事項還請粉絲們彼此提醒喲！＊發文請盡可能與學術研究、學術活動相關，勿濫用平台打廣告。＊有疑慮要發問，請保持基本禮貌，尊重自己也尊重別人。＊歡迎各種評論，但禁止謾罵或人身攻擊等，違者將隱藏、刪除貼文或封鎖帳號。＊有非關本文的意見，請善用「塗鴉牆」或「私訊」，發文下明顯不相干留言將隱藏或刪除，保持版面一致性。

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u.s. real gdp growth 在コバにゃんチャンネル Youtube 的最讚貼文

By コバにゃんチャンネル

2021-10-01 13:19:08 有 9 人看過有 1 人喜歡

コバにゃんチャンネル

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コバにゃん☆です?

u.s. real gdp growth 在大象中醫 Youtube 的最讚貼文

By 大象中醫

2021-10-01 13:10:45 有 0 人看過有 0 人喜歡

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u.s. real gdp growth 在 20.1b Real GDP growth rate - YouTube 的推薦與評價

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Real gross domestic product is the inflation adjusted value of the goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States.

#2. Gross Domestic Product - Bureau of Economic Analysis

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.6 percent in the third quarter of 2022, in contrast to a decrease of 0.6 percent in the ...

#3. United States GDP Growth Rate - 2022 Data - 2023 Forecast

GDP Growth Rate in the United States averaged 3.18 percent from 1947 until 2022, reaching an all time high of 35.30 percent in the third quarter of 2020 and a ...

#4. Real GDP growth by quarter in the U.S. 2012-2022 - Statista

Annualized growth of real GDP in the United States from 2012 to 2022, by quarter.

#5. GDP growth (annual %) - United States - World Bank Data

GDP growth (annual %) - United States from The World Bank: Data.

#6. US Real GDP Growth | Economic Indicators - CEIC

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in United States expanded 1.8 % YoY in Sep 2022, following a growth of 1.8 % in the previous quarter. · Real GDP Growth YoY data ...

#7. GDPNow - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

The growth rate of real gross domestic product (GDP) measured by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is a key metric of the pace of economic activity. It ...

#8. US Real GDP QoQ - YCharts

US Real GDP QoQ is at 2.60%, compared to -0.60% last quarter and 2.70% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 3.18%. Report, Gross Domestic ...

#9. US Real GDP | US GDP | Collection - MacroMicro

Gross domestic product is a measure of values of all goods produced and services in a given country during a given period of time. In the US, GDP has ...

#10. World Economic Outlook (October 2022) - Real GDP growth

IMFDataMapper. Datasets. World Economic Outlook (October 2022). Real GDP growth ... Billions of U.S. dollars. 44.23. thousand. Created with Highcharts 6.1.4.

#11. GDP and spending - Real GDP forecast - OECD Data

Real gross domestic product (GDP) is GDP in constant prices and refers to the ... This indicator is measured in growth rates compared to previous year.

#12. US Real GDP Growth Rate by Year - S&P 500 PE Ratio

US Real GDP Growth Rate table by year, historic, and current data. Current US Real GDP Growth Rate is 1.77%.

#13. Economic Forecast for the US Economy - The Conference Board

This outlook is associated with persistent inflation and rising hawkishness by the Federal Reserve. We forecast that 2022 Real GDP growth will come in at 1.5 ...

#14. U.S. GDP Growth Rate 1961-2022 - Macrotrends

Year GDP Growth (%) Annual Change 2021 5.67% 9.08% 2020 ‑3.40% ‑5.69% 2019 2.29% ‑0.63%

#15. What Is the U.S. GDP Growth Rate? - The Balance

The current U.S. GDP growth rate is 2.6%. · The increase was a change in pace, as the economy had seen two consecutive quarters of decline so far ...

#16. What Real Gross Domestic Product (Real GDP) Is, How to ...

The U.S. real GDP growth rate (annualized) during the second quarter of 2022, versus a 0.6% decline in the second quarter.3 ...

#17. US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) QoQ - Investing.com

Actual. 2.6%. Forecast. 2.4%. Previous. -0.6%. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and ...

#18. United States Real Gross Domestic Product | Moody's Analytics

Contribution to volatility in GDP growth for six components: Consumption, government, inventories, residential, nonresidential, net exports; Interest coverage ...

#19. U.S. Q3 GDP overshot IMF forecasts, but growth volatile -official

U.S. Q3 GDP overshot IMF forecasts, but growth volatile -official ... IMF World Economic Outlook forecasts for 1.6% U.S. real GDP growth in ...

#20. EHGDUSY:IND US Real GDP (Annual YoY %) - Bloomberg.com

Index performance for US Real GDP (Annual YoY %) (EHGDUSY) including value, chart, profile & other market data.

#21. Real GDP growth - Our World in Data

Our World in Data is free and accessible for everyone. Help us do this work by making a donation. ... Licenses: All visualizations, data, and articles produced by ...

#22. Tracking U.S. Real GDP Growth During the Pandemic

Tracking U.S. Real GDP Growth During the Pandemic ... COVID-19 has caused a public health and economic crisis across the globe. As scientists fervidly search for ...

#23. Q1 2022 GDP Data Analysis - KPMG US

"Real GDP contracted by 1.4% (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in Q1 2022, missing expectations for a 1.0% increase. The headline GDP result overstates the ...

#24. GDP will likely show U.S. economy grew in the third quarter ...

Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic activity, is expected to have risen roughly 2.9 percent between July and September, ...

#25. Recent U.S. Economic Growth - Treasury Department

▷ Growth in the U.S. has outpaced that of other advanced economies affected by the global financial crisis. Real GDP, 2008 Q1 = 100. International Growth.

#26. Research & Economic Analysis | Outlook for the Economy

Economic Indicators 2020 2021 ¹ 2022 2023 2024 2025 Economic Indicators Actual Actual Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Total population (thousands) ² 1,452 1,442 1,440 1,441 1,444 1,446 Visitor arrivals (thousands) ³ 2,708 6,778 9,191 9,838 10,223 10,503

#27. Real GDP growth rate (chain-linked volume) - Statistikaamet

Gross domestic product (GDP) is calculated taking account of all economic transactions. When calculating the real economic growth, there needs to be an ...

#28. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) - Office for National Statistics

Gross domestic product (GDP) estimates as the main measure of UK economic growth based on the value of goods and services produced during a given period.

#29. U.S. GDP accelerated at 2.6% pace in Q3, better than ... - CNBC

Gross domestic product was expected to grow at a 2.3% annualized pace in the third quarter, according to Dow Jones.

#30. A most unusual recovery: How the US rebound from COVID ...

Europe's GDP growth spurt has reduced the gap with the U.S.. Economic activity around the world plunged in the first few months of 2020, ...

#31. United States GDP - Worldometer

GDP Growth Rate in 2017 was 2.27%, representing a change of 376,278,687,800 US$ over 2016, when Real GDP was $16,972,347,070,400. GDP per Capita in the United ...

#32. The Truth About GDP Growth - Harvard Business Review

This figure depicts the growth of U.S. real GDP. The two curved lines bracket the narrow corridor within which GDP has been confined for more than 30 years.

#33. Economy of the United States - Wikipedia

The U.S. economy experienced a serious economic downturn during the Great Recession, defined as lasting from December 2007 to June 2009. However, real GDP ...

#34. US Monthly GDP Index for July 2022 | IHS Markit

Implicit in our latest tracking forecast of 1.4% GDP growth in the ... Our index of Monthly US GDP (MGDP) is a monthly indicator of real ...

#35. The Fed - September 21, 2022: FOMC Projections materials ...

Note: Projections of change in real gross domestic product (GDP) and projections ... A. Uncertainty and risks in projections of GDP growth.

#36. Eight Years of Macroeconomic Progress and the Third ...

Real GDP grew 3.5 percent at an annual rate in the third quarter, with the U.S. economy now 11.6 percent larger than at its peak before the ...

#37. How to Calculate the Annual Growth Rate for Real GDP

The annual growth rate of real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the broadest ... In the U.S., the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), part of the U.S. ...

#38. Oil Price Changes and U.S. Real GDP Growth - SSRN Papers

This paper contributes to the large debate regarding the impact of oil price changes on U.S. GDP growth. Firstly, it replicates empirical ...

#39. How Should We Think about 2020 GDP Growth? - Econofact

Real GDP growth — the change in the value of goods and services produced by the U.S. economy (net of any changes in prices) — is typically ...

#40. Annual percent change in real GDP - USAFacts

... to achieve a certain growth rate, and vice versa. In 2021, the annual percent change in real GDP in the US was 5.7%, an increase of 9.1% from 2019.

#41. US GDP growth - The Economic Times

us gdp growth Latest Breaking News, Pictures, Videos, and Special Reports from The Economic Times. us gdp growth Blogs, Comments and Archive News on ...

#42. US GDP unexpectedly contracted at a 1.4% annualized rate in ...

"All of these factors have shrunk GDP growth rates around the globe.” And indeed, some of the points used to bolster the case for a formal ...

#43. Economic Growth | Explainer | Education | RBA

In this example, nominal GDP growth (6.6 per cent) is more than real GDP ... Similarly, GDP doesn't tell us anything about how evenly national income is ...

#44. Good GDP Growth Will Not Last - Kiplinger

See Kiplinger's latest forecast for gross domestic product. ... The U.S. consumer and energy exports are supporting the economy right now.

#45. US GDP Growth Forecast 2019-2024 and up to 2060 - Knoema

The data presented covers projections of real GDP growth, characterizing each country's output of final goods and services; consumer price ...

#46. Economic Outlook U.S. Q4 2021: The Rocket Is Leveling Off

In this light, we revised our forecasts of real GDP growth for 2021 and 2022 to 5.7% and 4.1%, respectively, from 6.7% and 3.7% in our June ...

#47. Real GDP growth - Statistics | Eurostat - European Union

The calculation of the annual growth rate of GDP volume is intended to allow comparisons of the dynamics of economic development both over ...

#48. GDP Report May Have Showed a Decline, but It's Not a ...

U.S. real GDP fell at a 0.9% annual rate in the second quarter from the ... as “two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth.”.

#49. Why did U.S. real GDP fall? - Econbrowser

Indeed, the growth of U.S. consumption spending was stronger in 2022:Q1 than it had been in 2021:Q4. Blue: personal income (PINCOME) plus ...

#50. U.S. Likely Didn't Slip into Recession in Early 2022 Despite ...

Has the U.S. economy entered a recession? Recession is often defined as two consecutive quarters of economic contraction—declining real GDP.

#51. The Daily — Gross domestic product by industry, June 2022

Real gross domestic product edged up 0.1% in June with growth across ... As the number of overseas and US visitors entering Canada grew in ...

#52. The U.S. economy shrank in the first quarter, but economists ...

“Despite a decline in real GDP, it wasn't a recessionary quarter: GDP fell and was much weaker than expected, but consumer spending growth ...

#53. What the US GDP data tell us about 2020 | PIIE

The US economy contracted 3.5 percent on an annual basis in 2020, ... Overall, real annual disposable personal income grew by 6.0 percent in ...

#54. US GDP | Financial Times

US economic growth surges to end 2021 on a high note · GDP rise of 6.9% exceeds expectations and cements best full-year gain since 1984 as pandemic recedes.

#55. How Do Economists Determine Whether the Economy Is in a ...

All of these indicators have exhibited strong growth in the U.S. ... 1.6 percent rate contraction in first quarter real GDP into context.

#56. Tracking Real GDP over Time - OERTX

By convention, governments report GDP growth is at an annualized rate: Whatever the calculated ... Figure shows the pattern of U.S. real GDP since 1900.

#57. Predicting the US Real GDP Growth Using Yield Spread of ...

[1997] reports that the yield spread of government bonds has a strong predictive power for the real. GDP growth rate in most developed countries excluding Japan ...

#58. U.S. Economy Grew Robustly in First Quarter - WSJ

GDP grew at 6.4% annual rate in the quarter, leaving economy within 1% of its peak.

#59. Real gross domestic product by major demand category

Category 2001 2011 2021 2031 Compoun... Gross domestic product $13,266.2 $15,894.9 $19,431.3 $24,032.8 1.8 Personal consumption expenditures 8,877.4 10,894.7 13,626.2 16,919.3 2.1 Gross private domestic investment 2,214.6 2,362.1 3,631.5 4,968.3 0.6

#60. U.S. economy just had a 2nd quarter of negative growth. Is it in ...

This is the second consecutive quarter where the economy has contracted. In the first quarter, GDP, or gross domestic product, decreased at an ...

#61. Introduction to U.S. Economy: GDP and Economic Growth

One of the ways in which economic performance is often measured is by the output gap—the difference between real GDP and potential GDP.

#62. U.S. GDP and S&P 500 - e-Repositori UPF

In a Robinson Crusoe economy, stock market growth increase should exactly match real GDP growth (Herrmann, 2019). The finance-growth hypothesis (Schumpeter, ...

#63. Ontario Economic Accounts | ontario.ca

Chart 1.1: Real gross domestic product growth ... As of the second quarter, U.S. real GDP was 3.5% above its level in 2019Q4.

#64. What Was the US GDP Then? - Measuring Worth

There are two measures of GDP: Nominal GDP is the value of production at current market prices, here measured in millions of US Dollars. Real GDP is the value ...

#65. Second-quarter GDP declined less than previously ... - CNN

The US economy shrank at a slightly slower rate than estimated during ... Real GDP fell, but employment growth was very strong, real GDI was ...

#66. Atlanta Fed's GDP model indicates US economy in recession

"The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth, seasonally adjusted annual rate, in the second quarter of 2022 is -2.1% on July 1, down from - ...

#67. US economy shrinks in second quarter, signaling unofficial ...

The growth rate stands in marked contrast to the robust 6.9% annual increase in GDP recorded in the final quarter of 2021 when the economy ...

#68. Annual growth rate of real GDP per capita - UNECE Data Portal

Real GDP per capita is calculated by dividing GDP at constant prices by the population of a country or area. The data for real GDP are measured in constant US ...

#69. Nowcasting Report - FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of NEW YORK

The New York Fed Staff Nowcast Advance GDP estimate Latest GDP estimate ... Our forecasts for GDP growth from 2002:Q1 through 2015:Q4 are historical ...

#70. Gross Domestic Product of the United States (US GDP) - Dataset

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the United States (US) both nominal and real on an annual and quarterly basis. Annual data is provided since 1930 and ...

#71. GDP Quarterly Projections - American Staffing Association

Actual gross domestic product annualized rates and projections by Wall Street Journal ... Get the facts on forecasting economic growth ».

#72. A Quarterly GDP Drop Doesn't Always Lead to Recession ...

Over the past 75 years or 300 quarters, the annualized rate of quarterly real GDP growth has turned negative 44 times.

#73. What's happened to economy under Biden? - BBC News

However, the latest quarterly figures show positive growth. From July to September, US gross domestic product (GDP) - a standard measure of ...

#74. US To Experience Mild Recession In 2023, With Risks ...

Despite the strong rebound in real GDP growth of 2.6% q-o-q annualised in Q322, the major components of the economy showed a weakening trend ...

#75. Real GDP of the United States (2010 - 2021, $ Billion)

The US is the largest economy in the world. The US real GDP hit $18.7 trillion in 2021, an increase of 5.7% over the previous year. The US real GDP grew at ...

#76. Real GDP growth - Office for Budget Responsibility - OBR

GDP stands for 'gross domestic product'. It can be measured in cash terms ('nominal GDP') or in inflation-adjusted or real terms ('real ...

#77. US GDP Shrinks 1.4% in Q1, Missing Forecasts Amid Omicron ...

The US economy unexpectedly shrank in the first quarter for the first time since the pandemic crash · Real GDP growth.

#78. U.S. Economy Not As Strong As It Appears - Forbes

The U.S, Bureau of Economic Analysis released its third estimate for December quarter's GDP growth, coming in at 6.9%. This was an increase ...

#79. GDP Quarterly National Accounts: 2022 Quarter 2 (April to June)

This publication includes updated estimate of onshore GDP growth in real terms up to the second quarter of 2022, along with additional ...

#80. G.D.P. Report Shows the U.S. Economy Shrank, Masking a ...

Real gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, declined 0.4 percent in the first quarter of 2022, following an increase of 1.7 percent ...

#81. Real GDP and nominal GDP (video) - Khan Academy

So this right over here, that area, is $91 of-- and we could even call it real growth. It really measures the productivity. Now this gives us an interesting, I ...

#82. An Overview of the Economic Outlook: 2021 to 2031

Real GDP is projected to return to its prepandemic level in mid-2021. ... GDP and Potential GDP Percent Real GDP Growth Real Potential GDP ...

#83. Annex 1 - Details of Economic and Fiscal Projections | FES 2022

U.S. real GDP growth. Budget 2022, 3.8, 2.6, 2.0, 1.8, 1.9, ---, 2.4. 2022 Fall Economic Statement, 1.7, 0.6, 1.7, 2.2, 2.1, 2.0, 1.6.

#84. Q2 US GDP: Economy contracts for second consecutive quarter

A chart shows contributions to real GDP growth from 2019 through Q2 2022. Personal consumption increased by 1% in contrast with the 13.5% ...

#85. Is the U.S. already in a recession? San Diego economists and ...

NO: The most recent GDP numbers show a 2.6 percent annualized GDP growth rate — great news after the first two quarters of negative GDP growth ...

#86. USA Economic growth, percent change in quarterly real GDP ...

The latest data from show economic growth of 1.8 percent, which is a decrease from the rate of growth of 3.7 percent in the previous quarter and a decrease ...

#87. Consumer spending, private investment drive US GDP growth

According to the first preliminary estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on Thursday, real GDP increased 5.7 ...

#88. Top 15 Countries by GDP in 2022 | Global PEO Services

The United States will likely always be in the top countries by GDP in the ... It has been the largest contributor to global growth since the financial ...

#89. Economy notches 5.7% growth in 2021 after GDP spikes in ...

The nation's gross domestic product, the value of all goods and services produced in the U.S., increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of ...

#90. World Bank expects UAE's real GDP to grow by 5.9 pct in 2022

“If the GCC continued business as usual, their combined GDP would grow to an expected US$ 6 trillion by 2050. However, if the GCC countries ...

#91. Who's Driving Whom? Analyzing External and Intra-Regional ...

We find a substantial impact of changes in U.S. real GDP growth and interest rates on both real GDP growth and interest rates in Canada.

#92. Republic of Latvia: Staff Report for the 2015 Article IV ...

GDP,. unless. otherwise. indicated). EPUBLICO. FL. ATVIA. Actual 2011 ... 3.6 13.2 4.8 -4.3 2.9 5.3 1.3 2.4 Real GDP growth (in percent) GDP deflator in US ...

#93. India: 2018 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff ...

India: External Debt Sustainability Framework, 2013–2023 2015 Actual ... 7.1 1.0 -4.5 7.0 0.8 2.4 2.1 2.6 Real GDP growth (in percent) GDP deflator in US ...

#94. Ecuador: Staff Report for the 2019 Article IV Consultation ...

... from nominal interest rate Contribution from real GDP growth Contribution ... 6.6 6.2 5.9 5.9 Real GDP growth (in percent) GDP deflator in US dollars ...

#95. At 2.5 percent, U.S. GDP's growth rate signals that a robust ...

At 2.5 percent, U.S. GDP's growth rate signals that a robust recovery has yet to ... Real disposable personal income fell by 5.3 percent.

#96. 20.1b Real GDP growth rate - YouTube

20.1b Real GDP growth rate. 414 views414 views. Apr 27, 2020. 1. Dislike. Share. Save. Venoo Kakar. Venoo Kakar. 1.34K subscribers.

#97. Despite global slowdown, Saudi GDP records 8.6% growth in ...

Real non-oil GDP growth expanded by 5.9% following six ... downward pressure in global markets including China, the EU, the UK, and the US.

#98. Saudi Arabia's real GDP grows by 8.6% in Q3 2022

Domestically, real non-oil GDP growth expanded by 5.9 per cent, ... Exports to China, Japan and the US increased, while India and South ...

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