ทำไม มาตรการ QE ของสหรัฐ ไม่ทำให้เกิดเงินเฟ้อ ขั้นรุนแรง /โดย ลงทุนแมน
Quantitative Easing หรือที่เรียกสั้นๆ ว่า QE
คือเครื่องมือหนึ่ง ที่ธนาคารกลาง ใช้ในการกระตุ้นเศรษฐกิจ
โดยการอัดฉีดเงิน เพื่อเพิ่มสภาพคล่องให้ระบบเศรษฐกิจ ในภาวะเศรษฐกิจชะลอตัว
...Continue ReadingWhy U.S. QE measures don't cause severe inflation / by investman
Quantitative Easing aka QE
Is one tool that central banks use to stimulate the economy.
By pumping money to increase liquidity for the economic system in slowing economic progress.
But the result that many people worry about is.
Amount of money will rise in the economic system which will bring inflation.
And may be severe to severe inflation aka ′′ Hyperinflation
We have seen many countries do QE hard.
Will this lead to severe inflation in the future?
Investing man will try to analyse it.
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First, let's understand the meaning of Hyperinflation.
Hyperinflation is a condition where product prices rise quickly.
Makes the country's money value go down dramatically
Why the value of money goes down
As a result, lots and lots of money flowing into the economy.
Compared to the same amount of goods and services in the economic system.
Price increases product prices quickly
An example of past severe Hyperinflation incident.
Such as in Hungary and Venezuela
Hyperinflation in Hungary happened in 1946
During that time, Hungary was heavily damaged by WWI.
Especially various infrastructure systems.
The Hungarian Government has shortage of budgets in economic revival.
So I decided to print a lot of money to repair the city's home and stimulate the economy.
Making money in Hungary's system is increasing tremendously.
As much as the amount of money increases, the domestic products are still the same.
So it makes inflation rise quickly
Hungary average product prices increase to 2 times in 15 hours.
By the moment of Hyperinflation
Hungary inflation rate rises to 150,000 % within one day.
Venezuela part of year 2019
Venezuelan inflation rises to 10,000,000
The cause of this story is similar to the case of Hungary
Well there is excessive economic system injection
Both to stimulate a slowing economy from low petrol prices.
Including to use for government's populist policies
We'll see that all 2 events have one thing in common.
Well there is a huge economic system injection.
Which leads to hyperinflation
Back at present COVID crisis-19
Many countries have measures to stimulate the economy.
With lots of money pumping into the economic system
US Central Bank
Using unlimited amount of QE measures
From the original designated price of about 22 trillion baht per year.
Central Bank of Japan
It's another country that uses unlimited amount of QE measures.
From the original designated, about 24 trillion baht per year.
European Central Bank announces more projects
In acquisition of emergency assets worth over 27 trillion baht.
It will see that many countries are now pumping a lot of money into the system.
And in many countries, I used to do heavy QE before.
For example, the case of the USA.
There has been a lot of money pumping into the economic system in the past 10 years.
Since the 2008 US Real Estate Bubble crisis.
Interesting is that US inflation rates aren't adjusted to much higher like the cases of Hungary and Venezuela.
2010 US average inflation rate equates to 1.6 %
2019 US average inflation rate equates to 1.8 %
Japan is another country where xỳāng h̄nạk measures are taken.
But inflation is still at low near 0 % as well.
Why is the story like this?
This phenomenon is partly because
US and Japan central banks make QE through asset purchases.
Both bonds, shares, loan from commercial banks.
And commercial banks are responsible for re-releasing money into the economy.
But what happens is that commercial banks don't forward the money they get from central banks.
To the business and household sector as everyone thought at first.
The cause is because during economic recession or slowdown.
Household sector tends to save money rather than bring money to spend.
Due to insecure future economic
For example, in USA.
The deposit amount in the COVID-19 pre-birth system is around 416 trillion baht.
But when COVID-19 goes viral, deposits in the system increase to almost 500 trillion baht.
Within just a few months
Meanwhile, a bad economic situation.
Making selling business sector products and services difficult.
Making production and service still very much available.
Business sector may not require a loan to expand business.
Enough demand for products and services doesn't increase higher.
Well, things don't go much higher.
Even with lots of money in the system
Another point is.
Countries with large economies like USA and Japan
Own the world's main currency with high credibility.
Most people still believe and still demand to hold these currency.
In conclusion, if you ask for QE making of big countries today.
Will it lead to severe inflation in the future?
I have to say that this problem can be difficult for big countries like USA and Japan.
But the point is, this plague crisis doesn't know when it ends.
And countries inject money log in
For a country which is economically stable as a big country, it might be careful.
Because those countries may have severe inflation, different from this case..
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References
-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperinflation
-https://nomadcapitalist.com/2014/04/20/top-5-worst-cases-hyperinflation-history/
-https://www.businessinsider.com/hungarys-hyperinflation-story-2014-4
-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperinflation_in_Venezuela
-https://www.thestreet.com/investing/federal-reserve-unveils-unlimited-qe-to-confront-coronavirus
-https://www.schroders.com/en/bm/asset-management/insights/economic-views/bank-of-japan-ramps-up-qe-again-amid-dismal-outlook/
-https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm
-https://www.focus-economics.com/countries/japan/news/inflation/core-consumer-prices-hold-steady-in-june-in-annual-terms
- https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/projections/html/ecb.projections202006_eurosystemstaff~7628a8cf43.en.html#toc3
-https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/2900/inflation/inflation-and-quantitative-easing/
-https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DPSACBW027SBOGTranslated
同時也有10000部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過2,910的網紅コバにゃんチャンネル,也在其Youtube影片中提到,...
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increases meaning 在 Pakar diari hati Facebook 的最讚貼文
10 tips beli rumah . jom ruang kan masa membaca . tak salah kita menambah ilmu . 😊
1. Pilih Loan Yang Betul
Pastikan loan pertama yang anak muda buat dengan bank adalah loan rumah. Bukan loan kereta. Ini adalah kerana loan kereta akan menyebabkan komitmen anak muda semakin tinggi dan kelayakan di pihak bank untuk beli rumah semakin berkurangan. (Kalau nak pakai kereta jugak, pastikan guna nama orang abang, kakak, atau ayah. Asalkan bukan nama kita. Nak senang lagi, mintak nak...
Continue Reading10 tips to buy a house. Let's space the time to read. It's not wrong for us to add knowledge. 😊
1. Choose The Right Loan
Ensure the first loan that young people do with the bank is a house loan. Not a car loan. This is because car loans will lead to young people's commitments getting higher and the qualifiers on the bank to buy houses are reducing. (If you want to use a car, make sure to use the name of your brother, sister, or father. As long as it's not our name. Want to be easy again, asking to continue paying their car)
2. Use Company Accounts As CashFlow
If young people do business, make sure that customers bank in to the company account. Not a personal account of young people. If the customer banks into a personal account, it will NOT be counted as INCOME. So, lose it there. If anyone missed it, transfer back to the company account with a note ′′ CASH SALES ". If you are eating your salary, and within the same time your own business, register the company. ENTERPRISE is enough.
3. Pay KWSP
If young people are doing their own business, make sure to set your salary for yourself and pay your own business. When applying for loan bank later, there will be 2 types of income of young people. That is income from business, and income from your own salary. For salary payment, use company check to pay. Avoid transfer online only. And make sure to make Payslip and cop together.
4. Don't Influence ASB Loan and Personal Loan
Don't be quick to take ASB Loan or Personal Loan. Because this type of Loan is always the factor that leads to our home bank rejected loans. If you want to take ASB Loan too, make sure that after passing your home loan, then take it once. For me, if you plan to buy a second property, don't take an ASB loan anymore. Because usually the bank will offer us after we pass our first home loan. (but it's different if your income is big, if just taking ASB Loan and monthly payments doesn't give a big effect on your DSR, it's okay.
5. Buy First Home For Investment
For the first home, make sure you buy for investment purposes. Why did I say that? Because if young people buy to sit by themselves, it will be a expenses for young people. It's different if young people buy it in cash. Investment is also divided into two. Either Cash Flow or Capital Gain. If young people choose to cash flow investment. It means young people rent the house to others. Ensure the rent given is nothing less than the bank's monthly payment. Another one is Capital Gain. This means, young people buy a house at a certain period, and when the value of the house increases, young people sell / flip the house and get profit from the sale. This way is called Capital Gain.
6. Don't Combine The Name Of Husband Wife When Buying
Avoid combine the name of husband and wife while buying a house. This is because, everyone is only eligible to get a 90 % loan for two houses only. If the 70th house, only get a loan for 70 %. This means, if you follow the rules, a couple of wives will be able to buy 4 houses. But if combine the name, it will be only 2 houses to get a loan of 90 %. So, you'll lose it. The right rule for a husband and wife is... Buy 4 houses, 1 to sit alone, and 3 more for rent. It's a profit from renting that house to pay monthly for the house that you sit. Isn't it like sitting like that?
7. Ensure CCRIS Records CLEAN
CCRIS record is a record from Bank Negara that collects our debts with financial institutions in Malaysia. To make it easier for you before you decide to make a home loan, make sure you check your own CCRIS record first. Later you'll see your debt list and next to your monthly payment list. If it's 0, it means your record is clean. You're a man of mind. If it's 1, this means there's 1 months out, then 2,3,4 and so on. The way to check is to go to the National Bank and use the machines provided. Or now can apply online only. I'll show you the other day.
8. Three Types Of Home You Need To Know
There are three types of homes you can buy.
FIRST - undercons house (meaning under construction). Usually undercons homes are suitable for people who plan on FLIPPING (Selling) when they're done. If you're looking for a house with discount 7%, then you just need to remove 3 % capital. If you can find a house that gets 10 % discount, then you don't need to withdraw the capital to pay deposit.
BOTH - House of subsale. (means the house is done and has someone else's name). For this type of subsale house, a very large capital is required. If the house is RM500, 000, then a deposit of RM50, 000 is required. Added again with legal fees, etc.
THIRD - Auction House. Among these three types, auction houses are at very high risk. But it's okay.. high risk, the return is high.. If winning auction bid is much cheaper than market price, you'll be lucky.. For auction types, you need to study in terms of market value, house state, neighborhood and others before committing to join the bid. If you ask me, I'd rather buy a UNDERCONS house. 😊
9. Buy Undercons Home
If you choose to buy a house under cons, then choose a big developer. Examples like SP Loyal, IJM Land, Sime Darby, Worldwide and others. The first reason why to choose this developer is less risk. Meaning, the risk for abandoned projects is very low. If you choose a developer with no name, the risk is very high because they may lack capital or have other problems and cause the project can be abandoned. We will lose too later.
Second reason, if a big developer, they usually provide many benefits to their property buyers. For example, 5 %- 10 %, free air conditioner, alarm system, vinyl floor and more. Additionally, big developers will usually provide plenty of facilities in a residential park that they are developing. Look at SP Loyal example. So lucky people buy a house in this nature. How many new facilities they get. For example, there are malls, mosques, banks, parks, and more.
10. Buy Following Skills
Buy a house according to ability. Don't follow the lust. Yerlah, sometimes we are affected by friends who buy big houses, we also want to buy a big house. Loan may be able to pass.. but when entering the monthly payment chapter, it's really burdening you. Monthly commitment is higher than the income you get. Last-last, outstanding! So, to avoid this happening, before deciding to buy any house, make sure you count first about your monthly income ability to pay the house later.
11. Extra Tips
It's normal if loan for the first house, the bank wants to see your CCRIS record. Depends on some banks too. If you have never made a loan with a bank, then your ccris record is empty. And banks can't judge how discipline you are on loan payment. So, if this problem happens to you, there are 2 ways you can do it.
FIRST, you apply credit card and use it. The way to use the correct credit card is, swipe during the day, and at night keep paying back the credit card. This is to prevent you from forgetting to pay.
, make personal loan in the lowest amout in Easy RHB. This way, the bank will see a track record that you are a good debt payer.Translated
increases meaning 在 9bulan10hari Facebook 的最佳貼文
Cerita pendek.... yang besar maksudnya...
"Saya nampak cantik sebab ada orang hargai saya"
Selepas kahwin isteri perlukan.. :
- ..suami utk sama2 bantu rumahtangga.
- ..suami utk faham apa yg dilalui isteri.
- ..suami utk lebih menghargai isteri..
Dan bukannya :
- ..biar isteri penat dari mlm ke pagi.
- ..sampai xde masa nak urus diri sendiri..
- ..xcukup dgn hamil selama #9bulan10hari.. penat tu bertambah sampai ke harini...
- .. finally suami pulak komplen sampai isteri makan hati..
Fakta :
- Semakin byk syg & cinta suami.. semakin byk isteri akan semakin nampak cantik..
- Semakin byk suami sama2 ambil tahu hal2 rumahtangga... semakin terurus isteri sepanjang masa...
Bagilah isteri me time..
Biar dia keluar dgn kawan2 kejap utk tenangkan fikiran..
Bantulah isteri uruskan anak2 & kerja harian..
InsyaAllah banyak perkara2 indah akan terjadi dalam rumahtangga.. 😍
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Short story.... what a big meaning...
"I look beautiful because someone appreciates me"
After marriage the wife needs it..:
-.. husband to help the household together.
-.. husband to understand what his wife goes through.
-.. husband to appreciate his wife more..
And Not:
-.. Let the wife be tired from night to morning.
-.. until there's no time to take care of yourself..
-.. not enough with pregnant during #9 bulan10hari.. the tiredness increases until today...
-.. Finally my husband is complaining until his wife eats his heart..
Fact:
- the more love & love of the husband.. the more the wife will look more beautiful..
- the more husbands get to know the household things... the wife is getting more organized all the time...
Give my wife time..
Let him go out with friends for a while to calm his mind..
Help the wife to manage the children & daily work..
Insyaallah there will be a lot of beautiful things that will happen in the household.. 😍
For papa mama who wants pregnancy knowledge - birth - confinement - educate children & Nursing Mother's milk can click this link for it ya: ebook.9bulan10hari.com 😍Translated