My sister, Michelle-Ann Iking's 3% chance of conceiving naturally was a success! Here's her story:
(My apologies as I've been overwhelmed with personal matters. I've only managed to get to my desk. So finally got around posting this).
This is the story behind my sister's pregnancy struggle and how she shared her journey over her Facebook page.
Because some may have not caught her LIVE session chat with me (https://www.facebook.com/daphneiking/videos/687743128744960/) , or read her lengthy post (as it's a private page);
she's allowed me to copy and paste it over my wall, in case you need to know more about her thought process on how AND why she focused on the 3% success probability. Read on.
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Posted 10th May 2020.
FB Credit: Michelle-Ann Iking
A week ago today I celebrated becoming a mother to our second, long awaited child.
Please forgive this mother's LONG (self-indulgent) post, journalling what this significant milestone has meant for her personally, for her own fallible memory's sake as well as maybe to share one day with her son.
If all you were wondering was whether I had delivered and if mum and bub are OK, please be assured the whole KkLM family are thriving tremendously, and continue scrolling right along your Newsfeed 😁.
OUR 3% MIRACLE
All babies are miracles... and none more so than our precious Kiaen Aaryan (pronounced KEY-n AR-yen), whose name derives from Sanskrit origins meaning:
Grace of God
Spiritual
Kind
Benevolent
...words espousing the gratitude Kishore and I feel for Kiaen's arrival as our "3% miracle".
He was conceived, naturally, after 3 years of Kishore and I hoping, praying and 'endeavoring'... and only couples for whom the objective switches from pure recreation to (elusive) procreation will understand how this is less fun than it sounds ...
3 years during which time we had consensus from 3 different doctors that we, particularly I (with my advancing age etc etc) had only a 3% chance of natural conception and that our best hope for a sibling for our firstborn, Lara Anoushka, was via IVF.
Lara herself was an 'intervention baby', being one of the 20% of babies successfully conceived through the less intrusive IUI process, after a year and a half of trying naturally and already being told then my age was a debilitating factor.
We had tried another round of IUI for her sibling in 2017 when Lara was a year old. And that time we fell into the ranks of the 80% of would-be parents for whom it would be an exercise in futility... who would go home, comfort each other as best they could, while individually masking their own personal disappointment... hoping for the best, 'the next time around'...
So the improbability ratio of 97% against natural conception of our second baby, as concurred by the combined opinion of 3 medical professionals, was a very real, very daunting figure for us to have to mentally deal with.
Deep, DEEP, down in my heart however, though I had many a day of doubt... I kept a core kernel of faith that somehow, I would again experience the privilege of pregnancy, and again, have a chance at childbirth.
And so, the optimist in me would tell myself, "Well, there have to be people who fall in the 3% bucket... why shouldn't WE be part of the 3%?"
Those who know me well, understand my belief in the Law of Attraction, the philosophy of focusing your mind only on what you want to attract, not on what you don't want, and so even as Kishore and I prepared to go into significant personal debt to attempt IVF in the 2nd half of 2019, I marshalled a last ditch effort to hone in on that 3% chance of natural conception... through research coming across fertility supplements that I ordered from the US and sent to a friend in Singapore to redirect to me because the supplier would not deliver to Malaysia.
I made us as a couple take the supplements in the 3 month 'priming period' in the lead up to the IVF procedure - preconditioning our bodies for optimum results, if you will.
At the same time, I had invested in a sophisticated fertility monitor, with probes and digital sensors for daily tracking of saliva and other unmentionable fluid samples, designed to pinpoint with chemical accuracy my state of fertility on any given day.
(UPDATE: For those interested - I obtained the supplements and Ovacue Fertility Monitor from https://www.fairhavenhealth.com/. Though I had my supplies delivered to a friend in Singapore, and redirected to me here since the US site does not deliver to Malaysia, there are local distributors for these products, you will just have to research the trustworthiness of the vendors yourself...)
I had set an intention - in the 3 months of pre-IVF priming, I would consume what seemed like a pharmacy's worth of supplements, and track fertility religiously... in hopes that somehow, within the 3 month priming period, we would conceive naturally and potentially save ourselves a down payment on a new property... and this was just a projection on financial costs of IVF, not even considering the physical, emotional and mental toll it involves, with no guarantee of a baby at the end of it all...
It was a continuation of an intention embedded even with my first pregnancy, where all the big ticket baby items were consciously purchased for use by a future sibling, in gender neutral colours, in hopes that sibling would be a brother "for a balanced pair", though of course any healthy child would be a welcome blessing.
It was a very conscious determination to always skew my thoughts in service of what the end objective was. For example, when 3+year old Lara would innocently express impatience at not yet having a sibling, at one point suggesting that since we were "taking too long to give her a baby brother/sister", perhaps we should just "go buy a baby from a shop", instead of getting defensive or berating the baby that she herself was, we enlisted Lara's help to pray for her sibling... so in any place of worship, or sacred ground of any kind that we passed thereon, Lara would stop, close her eyes, bow her small head and place her tiny hands together in prayer, reciting earnestly, "Please God, please give me a baby brother or baby sister."
After months and months of watching Lara do this, in the constancy of her childlike chant, Kishore started feeling the pressure of possibly disappointing Lara if her prayer was not answered. Whereas for me, Lara's recitation of her simple wish became like a strengthening mantra, our collective intention imbued with greater power with each repetition, and the goal of a sibling kept very much in the forefront of our minds (hence our calling Lara our 'project manager' in this endeavour).
And somehow in the 2nd month of that 3 month period, a positive + sign appeared on one of the home pregnancy tests I had grown accustomed to taking - my version of the lottery tickets others keep buying in hopes of hitting the jackpot, with all the cyclical anticipation and more often than not, disappointment, that entails...
This time however I was not disappointed.
With God's Grace, (hence 'Kiaen', a variation of 'Kiaan' which means 'Grace of God'), my focus on our joining the ranks of the 3% had materialised.
It seems poetic then, that Kiaen chose to make his appearance on the 3rd May, ironically the same date that his paternal great-grandfather departed this world for the next... such that in the combined words of Kishore and his father Kai Vello Suppiah,
"The 1st generation Suppiah left on 3rd May and the 4th generation Suppiah arrived on 3rd May after 41yrs...
One leaves, another comes, the legacy lives on..."
***
KIAEN AARYAN SUPPIAH'S BIRTH STORY
On Sunday 3rd May, I was 40 weeks and 5 days pregnant.
The baby was, in my mind, very UN-fashionably late past his due date of 29th April, so as much as I had willed and 'manifested' the privilege of pregnancy, to say I was keen to be done with it all was an understatement.
In the weeks leading to up to my full term, I had experienced increasingly intense Braxton-Hicks 'practice contractions' - annoying for me for the discomfort involved, stressful for Kishore who was on tenterhooks with the false alarms, on constant alert for when we would actually need to leave home for the hospital.
Having become a Hypnobirthing student and advocate from my first pregnancy with Lara, and thus being equipped with
(1) a lack of fear about childbirth in general and
(2) a basic understanding of how all the sensations I would experience fit into the big picture of my body bringing our baby closer to us,
I was less stressed - content to wait for the baby to be "fully cooked" and come out whenever he was ready... though I wouldn't have minded at all if the cooking time ended sooner, rather than later.
With Lara, I had been somewhat 'forced' into an induced labour, even though she was not yet due, and that had resulted in a 5 DAY LABOUR, a Birth Story for another post, so I was not inclined to chemically induce labour, even though I was assured that for second time mothers, it would be 'much faster and easier'...
That morning, I had a hunch *maybe* that day was the day, because in contrast to previous weeks' sensations of tightening, pressure and even spasms that were concentrated in the front of my abdomen and occasionally shot through my sides and legs, I felt period - like cramping in my lower back which I had not felt before throughout the pregnancy.
It was about 8am in the morning then, and my 'surges' were still relatively mild ('surges' being Hypnobirthing - speak for 'contractions', designed to frame them with the more positive connotations needed to counteract common language in which childbirth is presented as something that is unequivocally painful and traumatic, instead of the miraculous, powerful and natural phenomenon it actually is).
I recall (masochistically?) entertaining the thought of opting NOT to have an epidural JUST TO SEE WHAT IT WOULD BE LIKE...
I figured this would be the last time I would be pregnant and so it would be my 'last chance' to experience 'drug free labour' which, apart from the health benefits for baby and mother, might be *interesting* in a way that people who are curious about what getting a tattoo and skydiving and bungee jumping are like, might find these *interesting*...even knowing there will be pain and risk involved...
Since I have tried tattoos and skydiving (unfortunately not being able to squeeze in bungee-jumping while my life was purely my own to risk at no dependents' possible detriment) a similar curiousity about a no-epidural labour was on my mind...
In the absence of other signs of the onset of labour (like 'bloody show' or my waters breaking), I wanted to wait until the surges were coming every few minutes before we actually left the house for the hospital, not wanting to be one of those couples who rushed in too early and had interminable waits for the next stage in unfamiliar, clinical surroundings and/or were made to go home in an anti-climatic manner.
I was even calm enough through my surges to have the presence of mind to wash and blowdry my hair, knowing if I did deliver soon I would not be allowed this luxury for a while.
Around 9am I asked Kishore to prep for Lara and himself to be dressed and breakfasted so we could head to hospital soon, while I sent messages to family members on both sides informing them 'today might be the day.'
My mother, who had briefly served as a midwife before going back into general nursing and then becoming a nursing tutor, prophetically stated that if what I was experiencing was true labour, "the baby would be out by noon".
The pace in which my surges grew closer together was surprisingly quicker than I expected; and while I asked Lara to "Hurry up with breakfast" with only a tad more urgency than we normally tell her to do, little Missy being prone to dilly-dallying at meals, I probably freaked Kishore out when about 930am onwards, I had to instinctively get on my hands and knees a couple of times, eyes closed, trying to practice the Hypnobirthing breathing techniques I had revised to help along the process of my body birthing our child into the world.
I recall him saying a bit frantically as I knelt at our front door, doubled over as he waited for Lara to complete something or other, "Lara hurry up! Can't you see Mama is in so much pain and you are taking your own sweet time??!!"
SIDETRACK: Just the night before, Lara and I had watched a TV show in which a woman gave birth with the usual histrionics accompanying pop culture depictions of labour.
Lara watched the scene, transfixed.
I told her, simply and matter-of-factly, "That's what Mama has to do to get baby brother out Lara, and that's what I had to do for you also."
In most of interactions with my daughter, I have sought to equip her to face life's situations with calmness, truthful common sense, and ideally a minimum of drama.
Those who know the dramatic diva that Lara can be will know that this is a work-in-progress, but her response to me that night showed me some of my 'teachings' were sinking in:
She looked at me unfazed, "But Mama," she said. "You won't cry and scream like that lady, right? You will be BRAVE and stay calm, right?"
#nopressure.
So as we prepped to leave for the hospital I did indeed attempt to be that role model of calm for her, asking her only for her help in keeping very quiet,
"Because Mama needs to focus on bringing baby brother out and she needs quiet to concentrate...".
As we left the house at 10.11am, I texted Kishore's sister Geetha to please prep to pick up Lara from the hospital, and was grateful Kishore had the foresight to ask our gynae to prepare a letter for Geetha to show any police roadblocks between my in-laws' home in Subang Jaya and the hospital in Bangsar, this all happening under the Movement Control Order (MCO).
To Lara's credit, in the journey over to the hospital, she - probably sensing the gravity of the situation, sat very quietly in her seat at the back, and the silence was punctuated only by my occasional deep intakes of breath and some variation of my Ohmmm-like moans when the sensations were at their height.
By the time we got to Pantai Hospital at around 10.30am, my surges were strong enough I requested a wheelchair to assist me in getting to the labour ward, as I did not trust my own legs to support me... and Kishore would have to wait until Geetha had arrived to take Lara back to my in-laws' house before he himself could go up.
I slumped in the wheelchair and was wheeled up to the labour room with my eyes closed the whole time, trying to handle my surges.
I didn't even look up to see the attendant who pushed me... but did make the effort to thank him sincerely when he handed me over, with what seemed like a palpable sense of relief on his part, to the labour ward nurses.
The nurse attending me at Pantai was calm, steady and efficient. I answered some questions and changed into my labour gown while waiting for Kishore to come up, all the while managing the increasingly intense surges with my rusty Hypnobirthing breathing techniques.
By the time Kishore joined me at around 11am (I know these timings based on the timestamps of the 'WhatsApp live feed' of messages Kishore sent to his family), I was asking the nurse on duty, "How soon can I get an epidural??" thinking what crazy woman thought she could do this without drugs???!!!
The nurse checked my cervix dilation, I saw her bloodied glove indicating my mucous plug had dislodged, and she told me, "Well you are already at 7cm (which, for the uninitiated, is 70% of the way to the 10cm dilation needed for birthing), you are really doing well, if you made it this far without any drugs, if can you try and manage without it... I suspect within 2 hours or less you will deliver your baby and since it will take about that time for the anaesthesiologist to be called, epidural to be administered and kick in... it might all be for nothing... but of course the decision is completely up to you... "
So there I was, super torn, should I risk the sensations becoming worse... or risk the epidural becoming a waste?? And of course I was trying to decide this as my labour surges were coming at me stronger and stronger...
I was in such a dilemma...because as a 'recovering approval junkie' there was also a silly element of approval-seeking involved, ("The nurse thinks I can do this without drugs... maybe I CAN do this without drugs... Yay me!") mixed with that element of curiosity I mentioned earlier ("What if I actually CAN do this without drugs... plenty of other women have done it all over the world since time immemorial.. no big deal, how bad can it be...??") so then I thought I would use the financial aspect to be the 'tiebreaker' in my decision making...
I asked the nurse how much an epidural would cost and when she replied "Around MYR1.5k", I still remember Kishore's incredulous face as I asked the question, i.e."Seriously babe, you are gonna think about money right now? If you need the epidural TAKE IT, don't worry about the money!!!"... and while we are not rich by any stretch of the imagination, thankfully RM1.5k is not a quantum that made me swing towards a decision to "better save the money"...
So in the end, I guess my curiosity won out, and I turned down the epidural "just to see what it would be like and if I had it in me" (in addition of course to avoiding the side effects of any drugs introduced into my and the baby's body).
My labour occuring in the time of coronavirus, it was protocol for me to have a COVID19 test done, so the medical staff could apply the necessary precautions. I had heard from a friend Sharon Ruba that the test procedure was uncomfortable, so when the nurse came with the test kit as I was starting another surge, I asked, "Please can I just finish this surge before I do the test?" as I really didn't think I could multitask tackling multiple uncomfortable sensations in one go.
The COVID19 test involved what felt like a looong, skinny cotton bud being inserted into one nostril... I definitely felt more than a tickle as it went in and up, being told to take deep breaths by the nurse. Then she asked me to "Try to swallow" and I felt it go into my nasal cavities where I didn't think anything could go any further, but was proven wrong when she asked me to swallow again and the swab was probed even deeper. Then she warned me there would be some slight discomfort as she prepared to collect a sample... but at that point all I could think about was:
(i) I really don't have much of a choice
(ii) please let this be over before my next surge kicks in
(iii) if all the people breaking the MCO rules knew what it feels like to do this test maybe they won't put themselves at risk of the need to perform one...
In full disclosure as I was transferred into the actual delivery room at some point after 11am, another nurse offered me 'laughing gas' to ostensibly take some of the edge off... I took the self-operated breathing nozzle passed to me but don't recall it making any difference to my sensations..so didn't use it much as it seemed pretty pointless.
I recall some measure of relief when I heard my gynae Dr. Paul entering the room, greeting Kishore and me, and telling us it was going well and it wouldn't be long now and he would see us again shortly.
From my previous labour with Lara I knew the midwives pretty much take you 90% of the way through the labour and when the Dr is called in you are really at the home stretch, so was very relieved to hear his voice though knowing he would leave and come back later meant it wasn't quite over yet.
I do remember realising when I had crossed the Thinning and Opening Phase of labour to the Birthing Phase, by the change in sensations... it is still amazing to me that as the Hypnobirthing book mentioned, having this knowledge I was instinctively able to switch breathing techniques for the next stage of labour .
Was my opting against epidural the right choice for me?
Overall? Yes.
Don't get me wrong.
I *almost* regretted the decision several times during active labour... especially when I felt my body being taken over by an overwhelming compulsion to push that did not seem conscious and was accompanied by involuntary gutteral moans where I literally just thought to myself, "I surrender, God do with me what you will..." (super dramatic I know but VERY real at the time...).
I think I experienced 3-4 such natural explusive reflexes (?), rhythmically pushing the baby down the birth path, one of which was accompanied by what felt like a swoosh of water coming out of a hose with a diameter the size of a golf ball... this was when I realised my water had finally broken...
The nurses kept instructing me to do different things, to keep breathing, to move to my side, then to move to the middle, to raise my feet... and when I didn't comply, Kishore (who was with me throughout both my labours) tried to help them by repeating the instructions prefaced with "Sayang..." but I basically ignored all the intructions because I felt I had no capacity to direct any part of my body to do anything and someone else would have to physically manoeuvre that body part themselves.
When I heard Dr. Paul's voice again and the flurry of commotion surrounding his presence, I knew the time was close... and when I heard the nurse say to Kishore, "Sir, these are your gloves, for when you cut the baby's cord", it was music to my ears...
I'm very, VERY grateful Kiaen slid out after maybe the 4th of those involuntary pushes... the wave of RELIEF when he came out so quickly... it still boggles my mind that my mother was essentially right and as his birth time was 12.02pm, it was *only* about 1.5 hours between our arrival at the hospital and his arrival into the world.
Kiaen was placed on my chest for skin to skin bonding and remained there for a considerable time.
For our short stay in the hospital he would be with us in my maternity ward number C327... another trivially serendipitous sign for me because he was born on the 3rd (May) and our wedding anniversary is 27th (July).
I was discharged the following day 4th May at about 5.30pm, after I got an all clear on COVID19 and a paediatric surgeon did a small procedure on Kiaen to address a tongue-tie that would affect his breastfeeding latch... making the entire duration of our stay about 31 hours.
I have taken the time and effort to record all this down so that whenever life's challenges threaten to get me down I can remind myself, "Ignore the 97% failure probability, focus on the 3% success probability".
Also that the human condition is miraculous and it is such a privilege to experience it.
To our son Kiaen Aaryan, thank you for coming into our lives and choosing us as your parents.
Even though Papa and I are both zombies trying to settle into a night time feeding routine with you, I look forward to spending not only all future Mother's Days, but every day, with you and your Akka...
And last but not least, to my husband Kishore...without whom none of this would be possible - we did it sayang, I love you ❤️
Photo credit: Stayhome session with Samantha Yong Photography (http://samanthayong.com/)
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april 2 2020 day of the week 在 A Happy Mum Facebook 的精選貼文
Special Promotion - Book a family photoshoot with Bloom Photography at $88nett before 30 June! Read our review to find out more.
******
There was one thing which made me disappointed when the Circuit Breaker was first announced on 3rd April. Oddly, it wasn't because of full home-based learning for the kids or that we were required to practise safe distancing measures and stay home. That, I assumed I could deal with because being a SAHM for over a decade has trained me up pretty well. It was because there was something I had been looking forward to and I realised that we might have to put it off for months till the pandemic blew over.
You see, we had booked our family photoshoot session with Bloom Photography and it was supposed to take place a week later on Good Friday where the hubby could join us. For weeks, I had been thinking of what we should wear since we were allowed to have two outfits and what accessories the girls could bring along. They had been feeling enthusiastic about it too because it was their choice to have an outdoor shoot instead of a studio one and they were very much excited to be doing it for the first time in Botanic Gardens followed by having a good time in the park. Well, I guess things just don't always go as planned, right?
So I immediately dropped Bloom Photography a note after the announcement and casually asked if we could do it over the weekend before the restrictions came into place. Truth be told, I was just trying my luck and wasn't really expecting a yes. To my pleasant surprise, they were extremely swift to respond and after contacting their photographer, Su Wen, we agreed that we would do it the very next morning, which was in exactly 14 hours or so. Yippee yay yay!
This had to be one of my best birthday presents this year because whenever I looked through these photographs, every one of them just feels so precious to me. Yup, I turned 37 on the very day CB started on 7 April, what a memorable year, right? It has been over one and a half years since we did our last family photoshoot and I can see the huge change in each of the kids. Time really flies when you are a parent, I'm sure you already know that by now. That is also why I love being able to capture these happy moments and turn them into lasting memories. Here's sharing more about our photoshoot experience that day.
Blog link: http://www.ahappymum.com/2020/05/capturing-family-moments-with-bloom.html
april 2 2020 day of the week 在 ลงทุนแมน Facebook 的最讚貼文
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ยิ่งกว่ายุคสงครามโลกทั้ง 2 ครั้ง และวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจทั้งหมดที่คนรุ่นเราพอจะนึกออก
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กับเศรษฐกิจที่ย่ำแย่สุดในรอบประวัติศาสตร์ ไม่ต่างกัน
สัปดาห์ก่อน ประเทศสหรัฐอเมริการายงานตัวเลข
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ซึ่งถือเป็นระดับที่ย่ำแย่ที่สุดในประวัติศาสตร์
นับตั้งแต่ Great Depression ในปี ค.ศ. 1929 หรือ 91 ปีก่อน
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คิดเป็นการตกลงถึง 89% ภายในระยะเวลา 3 ปี
การตกลง 89% ของตลาดหุ้นในสหรัฐอเมริกาในตอนนั้นใกล้เคียงกับการตกลงของดัชนีตลาดหลักทรัพย์ประเทศไทย
จากจุดสูงสุดที่ 1,789 จุด ตกลงมาสู่จุดต่ำสุด 204 จุด ในช่วงวิกฤติต้มยำกุ้ง ปี พ.ศ. 2540
ซึ่งในปีถัดมา GDP ประเทศไทย ติดลบ 7.6%
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เท่ากับว่าวิกฤติปัจจุบัน ประเทศทั่วโลก รวมถึงประเทศไทยกำลังเผชิญกับเศรษฐกิจตกต่ำรุนแรงสุดครั้งหนึ่งในรอบประวัติศาสตร์
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ทุกคนก็คงยอมรับ
แต่นโยบายทางการเงินที่ธนาคารกลางหลายประเทศทั่วโลก กำลังทำอยู่ตอนนี้
ก็ถือว่าเป็นนโยบายที่บ้าบิ่นที่สุดในประวัติศาสตร์เช่นกัน
เพราะตอนนี้ ธนาคารกลางในหลายประเทศหั่นอัตราดอกเบี้ยนโยบายลง
รวมถึงอัดฉีดเงินเข้าระบบมหาศาล แบบที่ไม่เคยเกิดขึ้นมาก่อน
การอัดฉีดเงินเข้าระบบ หรือ Quantitative Easing (QE) เป็นนโยบายทางการเงิน
ที่เริ่มต้นมาจากประเทศสหรัฐอเมริกาในยุควิกฤติซับไพรม์ ปี ค.ศ. 2008
ซึ่งใช้ได้ผลดี และทำให้สหรัฐอเมริกาฟื้นจากวิกฤติมาได้อย่างรวดเร็ว
และก็เหมือนคนเคยเจ็บป่วย กินยาหาย
เมื่อป่วยอีกก็อยากกินยานั้นอีกครั้ง..
ซึ่งรอบนี้ การอัดฉีดเงินในประเทศสหรัฐอเมริกาก็ได้วิวัฒนาการเป็น Unlimited Quantitative Easing หรือ การพิมพ์เงินอัดเข้าไปพยุงสภาพคล่อง และธุรกิจไม่จำกัดวงเงิน ไม่จำกัดระยะเวลา
ถึงตอนนี้ธนาคารกลางประเทศสหรัฐอเมริกาอัดฉีดเงินเข้าระบบไปแล้วกว่า 1.8 ล้านล้านดอลลาร์สหรัฐ หรือ 58 ล้านล้านบาท คิดเป็นกว่า 3.6 เท่าเมื่อเทียบกับ GDP ประเทศไทยปีที่ผ่านมา
ทั้งหมดนี้สะท้อนไปยังความเชื่อมั่นในตลาดทุนที่ฟื้นกลับมาอย่างรวดเร็ว
แม้ว่าจะเกิด Circuit Breaker หลายครั้งในหลายประเทศตลอด 2 เดือนที่ผ่านมา
การฟื้นตัวอย่างรวดเร็วแบบนี้ สะท้อนให้เห็นว่าตอนนี้หลายคนยังมองวิกฤติโรคระบาด
มีแนวโน้มที่กำลังจะสิ้นสุดภายในไม่กี่เดือนที่จะถึงนี้ และนโยบายทางการเงินที่บ้าคลั่งกำลังจะรักษาวิกฤตินี้ได้
อย่างไรก็ตาม ก็ยังไม่มีใครรู้ว่า “สิ่งที่เราต้องจ่าย” จากการดำเนินนโยบายทางการเงินที่บ้าบิ่นขนาดนี้ จะส่งผลกระทบต่อระบบเศรษฐกิจในรูปแบบไหนบ้างในอนาคต
หากทุกอย่างกลับมาเป็นปกติโดยสมบูรณ์
ผู้คนเดินทางเป็นปกติ ไปเที่ยวเป็นปกติ
ความต้องการ กำลังซื้อของเรากลับมาที่จุดเดิม
เงินที่ล้นระบบจากนโยบายทางการเงินในวันนี้
ก็จะถูกทำให้ลดลงในอนาคต
และในวันนั้น
บุคคลที่ติดยา แต่ให้หยุดเสพ
เราก็จะได้รู้กัน ว่าอาการเป็นอย่างไร..
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อยากรู้ความเป็นไปของเศรษฐกิจโลก ต้องเข้าใจอดีต
เศรษฐกิจโลก 1,000 ปี พิมพ์ครั้งที่ 5
หนังสือเล่มนี้จะพูดถึงประวัติเศรษฐกิจโลกตั้งแต่ปี ค.ศ.1100 ไล่ยาวไปจนถึง ค.ศ.2019
สั่งซื้อได้ที่ (ซื้อตอนนี้มีส่วนลด 10% จากราคาปก 350 บาท)
Lazada : https://www.lazada.co.th/p…/1000-i714570154-s1368712682.html
Shopee : https://shopee.co.th/product/116732911/6716121161
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ติดตามลงทุนแมนได้ที่
Website - longtunman.com
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YouTube - youtube.com/longtunman
References
-https://www.history.com/…/great-de…/great-depression-history
-https://www.thebalance.com/the-great-depression-of-1929-330…
-https://www.bloomberg.com/…/fed-slows-treasury-buying-again…
-https://www.investopedia.com/t…/a/asian-financial-crisis.asp
-https://www.britannica.com/event/Asian-financial-crisis
-tradingview.com
-investing.com
Economy is bad but stocks are up / by Investing Man.
A few days ago, the British Central Bank predicted GDP this year.
Going down 14 % which is the most severe down in 300 years.
300 years are interesting numbers because that era is Sir Isaac Newton era.
The inventor of gravity theory or Thailand is the era of Krungsri Ayutthaya..
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This reflects this year's crisis worth of severe damage.
Even more than the 2 world wars era and all economic crisis that our generation can imagine.
Apart from England, many other countries are facing.
With the worst economy in history, there is no difference.
Last week USA reported numbers
Unemployment surpassed 20.5 million people in April.
Including 78 American companies have been filed bankruptcy.
This resulted in the American unemployment rate at 14.7 % level.
Which is the worst level in history.
Since Great Depression in July Prof. 1929 or 91 years ago
Crisis at that time, U.S. stock market index (Dow Jones)
Dropped from 381.17th highs, fell to 41.22th lowest point.
Think about 89 % in 3 years.
A 89 % deal of U.S. stock market at that time was close to the agreement of the Thailand Stock Exchange Index.
From the highest point at 1,789 points, I fell to the lowest point of 204 points during the crisis. Tom Yum Kung Pip. B.E. 2540
GDP Thailand is 7.6 % negative.
While this year, IMF predicts GDP Thailand will be 6.7 % negative.
It's equal to the current crisis, countries around the world, including Thailand, are facing the most severe economic crash once in history.
But what happened to the capital market
Both in USA, Thailand and around the world.
Back to back, not as severe as in the past..
So what's the difference between now and past situation?
Investing man will tell you about it.
If we say we are now in the worst economic crisis in history
Everyone would accept it.
But the monetary policy that many central banks around the world are doing now.
It's considered the craziest policy in history too.
Because now, central banks in different countries cut interest rate policies down.
Including pumping money into the system like never before.
Pumping money into a system or Quantitative Easing (QE) is a monetary policy.
Starting from USA in subprime crisis era B.E. 2008
Which works well and quickly revives the U.S. crisis.
And it's like someone who has been sick. Take medicine to heal.
When I'm sick again, I want to take that pill again..
This time, the money pumping in USA evolves into Unlimited Quantitative Easing or printing money to support liquidity and business. Unlimited amount of money. No time limit.
Until now, the Central Bank of USA has pumped over 1.8 trillion USD or 58 trillion Baht. It's more than 3.6 times compared to GDP Thailand last year.
This all reflects confidence in rapidly reviving capital markets.
Despite the Circuit Breaker many times in different countries for the last 2 months.
A speedy recovery like this reflects that many people are still looking at the epidemic crisis.
It's likely to end within the next few months and insane monetary policies are going to cure this crisis.
However, no one knows what ′′ we have to pay ′′ from implementing this crazy financial policy will impact future economic system.
If everything is completely back to normal
People travel normally, go on a regular trip.
Our purchase demands are back at the same spot.
Money overflowing from monetary policy today
Will be dropped in the future
And on that day
A person who is addicted to drugs but stop using them.
We will know how the symptoms are..
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If you want to know the possibility of the world economy, you must understand the
World economy 1,000 years. 5th typing.
This book will talk about the world economic history from July. Prof. 1100 will keep chasing until July. B.E. 2019
Order at (Buy now and get 10 % discount from the cover price of 350 baht)
Lazada: https://www.lazada.co.th/products/1000-i714570154-s1368712682.html
Shopee: https://shopee.co.th/product/116732911/6716121161
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Follow to invest in man at
Website - longtunman.com
Blockdit-blockdit.com/longtunman
Facebook-@[113397052526245:274: lngthun mæn]
Twitter - twitter.com/longtunman
Instagram-instagram.com/longtunman
Line - page.line.me/longtunman
YouTube - youtube.com/longtunman
References
-https://www.history.com/topics/great-depression/great-depression-history
-https://www.thebalance.com/the-great-depression-of-1929-3306033
-https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-05-08/fed-slows-treasury-buying-again-to-7-billion-a-day-next-week
-https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/asian-financial-crisis.asp
-https://www.britannica.com/event/Asian-financial-crisis
-tradingview.com
-investing.comTranslated
april 2 2020 day of the week 在 How do I get the day of week given a date? - python 的推薦與評價
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