🌻Docusign(DOCU), Crowdstrike(CRWD)財報結果
上週這兩家公司發表財報了.
這兩天看了一下他們的財報結果. Again, 兩家的表現都很好, 但發現分析師給DOCU的調價(往上)幅度比較多, 就好奇研究了一下SaaS公司是怎麼被估值的. 有興趣的話可以看看(從中學習到很多. 非常推薦一讀):
https://makingsenseofusastocks.blogspot.com/2021/09/blog-post.html
(By the way, 分析師對CRWD的價格調幅沒那麼大, 主因是成長趨緩了. 而DOCU的free cash flow佔營收比, 以及顧客黏著力在這季創了新高, 是讓分析師按讚的幾個原因).
關於CRWD: "The Street is already modeling revenue growth deceleration in 2022 to 36%, down from 60% expected in 2021, which on its own might prove a hurdle for a stock already trading at a high multiple," said Bank of America analyst Tal Liani in a report.
分析師對於DOCU的評價:
• 11位buy; 給的價格分別是: $310, $320 (x2), $330 (x2), $340 (x2), $345, $350, $350, $389
• 給Buy的分析師的評語:
o Baird: The analyst continues to view them as a best in class way to play digital transformation trends with strong growth, cash flow and profitability, and a strong competitive position. Power said DocuSign remains one of his top long-term compounding growth ideas.
o Citi: While slightly shy of the double-digit billings beat in recent quarters, DocuSign still delivered a solid 8% beat to Q2 billings, which grew 47% year-over-year, Radke tells investors in a research note.
o Evercore ISI: he calls "another strong quarter." While some may have wanted to see more aggressive Q3 billings guidance, he believes estimates "continue to leave room for upside," Materne said.
o JMP Securities: While revenue growth decelerated to 50% from 58% in Q1, the company is the clear leader in electronic signature and the broader system of agreement having crossed over 1M customers with a $2B run rate this quarter, the analyst tells investors in a research note, adding that he sees lots of room for growth as DocuSign targets a $50B total addressable market.
o Needham: The analyst commented, "Docusign reported another strong quarter in 2QF22 with typical DOCU upside to revenue and profitability. Sales metrics and growth decelerated Q/Q, as we expected against a massive pandemic quarter, but at a much slower rate than we believe much of the Street was anticipating. 65k net new customers was lower than the 70k - 90 range of CY20 but was still more than 2x greater than any pre-pandemic quarter, highlighting a strong end-market driving 47% billings growth against a strong comp. Commentary on incremental Agreement Cloud demand was positive, suggesting an additional growth tailwind combined with solid international can further aid 2HF22. Although DOCU shares could be lower near-term due to weak 2H OpMg guidance, we think this guidance is conservative, as the recent OM was greater than the pre-pandemic level even with tough comps."
o RBC Capital: The quarter highlighted the sustainability of the company's tailwinds post-pandemic as most of its underlying metrics such as billings and net revenue retention were solid, the analyst tells investors in a research note, adding that the traction with CLM and Notary was also "impressive".
分析師對於CRWD的評價:
• 12位buy; 給的價格分別是: $300, $310 (x2), $313, $315 (x2) , $305, $320, $325, $330 (x2), $340
• 1位給hold: $280 (from $220 by J.P. Morgan(same))
• 給Buy的分析師的評語:
o Baird: The analyst believes the company has significant room for growth with core modules, opportunities with Humio and in cloud workload security, among others, should help drive a continuation of strong growth over a long time horizon.
o BTIG: The company's "strong" Q2 results "cleared every hurdle", even though the buy-side benchmarks may have been slightly higher, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Powell adds that Crowdstrike is clearly gaining share in its core endpoint security target market at a rapid pace and gaining traction with new products across multiple categories.
o Canaccord: The analyst said the stock is down from its recent highs, and he thinks the re-rating creates a more favorable entry point for longer-oriented investors for a foundational security name. He views Crowdstrike as a long-term secular winner in security due to its native cloud platform advantage versus closely held peers in endpoint security combined with platform expansion into tangential segments to capture greater share of security budgets.
o Goldman Sachs: CrowdStrike last night delivered "another beat and raise quarter as the company benefited from another quarter of elevated demand," Essex said. But it traded lower following net new annual recurring revenue growth guidance that was slightly less than investors had hoped for. Essex, nonetheless, said the quarter demonstrated CrowdStrike's "ability to continue to go down market efficiently."
o JMP Securities: The analyst notes the company's Q2 annualized recurring revenue of $1.34B topping his estimate of $1.30B, with "sustained" 70% ARR and revenue growth along with margin upside seen as key highlights for the quarter. Suppiger adds that the metrics reflect Crowdstrike's "strong execution and robust demand environment".
o Mizuho: "very good" fiscal Q2 results. The annual recurring revenue growth of 70% year-over-year "was strong and still nicely surpassed" the Street's 65%-66% estimate, Moskowitz tells investors in a research note. He believes "strong execution can propel" Crowdstrike's stock higher.
o Piper Sandler: The company's metrics "outperformed across the board" in Q2 with 70% annual recurring revenue and revenue growth and record net new customer adds in the quarter, Owens tells investors in a research note.
o RBC Capital: Hedberg adds that CrowdStrike's record pipeline entering Q3 should continue to fuel the company's "land-and-expand" momentum.
o Stifel: Q2 results that he said "exceeded consensus estimates across all major financial metrics." He continues to believe that Crowdstrike's growth opportunity "remains in the early days" despite the company's scale given continued share capture within its core endpoint security market and incremental module adoption on the Falcon Platform, Reback tells investors.
o UBS: the company reported "pretty good" Q2 results against high expectations.
🌻趨勢: 跨境電商 Cross-border commerce
Morgan Stanley:
From our perspective, we think many are underestimating what the cross-border eCommerce demand could ultimately be, once key friction points like FX rates, tax and duties, shipping, language, etc are smoothed—all issues that Global-E directly addresses.
Cross-border ecommerce brings new, high-yield volume: We think elevated levels of cross-border ecommerce (ex-travel) is a structural shift thathas yet to be fully contemplated in MA (and V)'s long-term forecasts. MA's cross-border CNP ex-travel volume was 69% above 2019's level in 2Q and 63% higher in 1Q. Strength reflects both broader ecommerce adoption plus globalization of commerce, as marketplaces and services that reduce cross-border friction (such as those from GLBE) make international online ordering more readily adopted. Early data at V suggests greater cross-border ecommerce spend is persisting even in areas with pre-pandemic levels of international travel. Cross-border transactions also come at a higher yield, making us more optimistic that the trend can bring incremental long-term growth to the networks.
產業的潮流是有連貫性的. 疫情讓電商更發達後, 接下來應該就是加速電商跨境了. 跨境的話, 有很多問題需要解決(稅率, 語言, etc.) 這就需要有公司來做整合的動作. 這種跨境, 也可以想像是omnichannel的一種呈現.
Harley Finkelstein (President of Shopify): "I mean I think commerce in 2021 is cross-border."
🌻SPAC熱潮退卻,初創市值蒸發750億美元
"SPAC熱潮已經退卻。分析顯示,在2月中旬以前完成合併的137家SPAC的總市值已經蒸發25%,市值回落幅度上個月一度超過1,000億美元。"
"像貝萊德(BlackRock Inc., BLK)和富達投資(Fidelity Investments Inc.)這類企業管理的基金,以及許多對沖基金、養老金管理公司和其他一些投資者,都在SPAC的回落中遭受了衝擊,他們在去年年底開始的熱潮中競相投資SPAC。其中許多基金由於在價格還很低的時候就早早入場,所以現在仍坐擁可觀收益。事實上,SPAC市值仍有約2,500億美元,高於一年前的約1,000億美元,反映出這期間股價上漲和新公司上市的影響。
但即便如此,今年年初令人炫目的回報還是讓許多後來者做了接盤俠,扎堆投資所謂穩賺不賠的領域,其永恆的風險可見一斑。在過去的幾個月裡,一些投資者眼睜睜看著帳面財富縮水。"
"股價下跌會在SPAC領域形成惡性循環,因為投資者有權在併購交易前從空白支票公司撤資。一旦SPAC跌破發行價,投資者就更有可能這樣做,而許多SPAC的股價現在正處於這樣的水平。目前,在尚未宣布併購交易的空白支票公司中,超過95%的公司股價低於發行價。
投資者的大規模撤資會讓已經上市的空白支票公司手上的現金大幅減少,讓其更難實現業務目標,並可能加劇股價跌勢。"
https://on.wsj.com/3n6JznC
🌻BNPL (buy now pay later)
But most BNPL providers including Affirm, Klarna and Afterpay have been losing money despite breakneck revenue growth as they invest heavily in marketing to win share. Sweden-based Klarna’s credit losses more than doubled in the second quarter. Affirm has projected adjusted operating losses of $50m-$55m for the fiscal year that ended June 30.
The path to profitability for many of these companies was to achieve massive scale, analysts said.
https://www.ft.com/content/ca201a37-a16d-4223-b123-04d38350a972
Pictures: 一葉知秋; from EarningsWhispers
同時也有16部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過71萬的網紅VOGUE Taiwan,也在其Youtube影片中提到,水不是水、乳不是乳,最新神水神乳讓你保養有感! 2021專櫃熱賣精華液排行榜 ► https://smarturl.it/odh3lb 最近有很多化妝水,擦起來就不是單純像水的質感,乳液擦起來也不像傳統那種有點厚重的感覺,今天介紹六款最新的化妝水跟乳液 #保養 #化妝水 #乳液 #美容編輯隨你問 ...
「q2評價」的推薦目錄:
- 關於q2評價 在 貓的成長美股異想世界 Facebook 的最讚貼文
- 關於q2評價 在 股魚-不看盤投資 Facebook 的最讚貼文
- 關於q2評價 在 貓的成長美股異想世界 Facebook 的最佳解答
- 關於q2評價 在 VOGUE Taiwan Youtube 的最佳解答
- 關於q2評價 在 VOGUE Taiwan Youtube 的最讚貼文
- 關於q2評價 在 VOGUE Taiwan Youtube 的精選貼文
- 關於q2評價 在 [心得] Realme Q2 入手心得- 看板MobileComm - 批踢踢實業坊 的評價
- 關於q2評價 在 Audi Q2 35 TFSI S Line試駕 享有個性的價值,不妨先拋棄C/P ... 的評價
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- 關於q2評價 在 [閒聊] Leica Q2/GR3/X70 長期使用心得- 看板DSLR - PTT數位 ... 的評價
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- 關於q2評價 在 研究所板 | Dcard 的評價
q2評價 在 股魚-不看盤投資 Facebook 的最讚貼文
2021.08 金融股中位數估算資料全揭露
🔥🔥🔥 https://bit.ly/3joUEy5
.
金融族群的Q2財報數據已陸續完成上傳,我們也利用最新的財報資料更新所有評價數據。從評價數據上來看,部分族群普遍有低於估算的狀況,這部分主要是跟機構法人對於該族群今年的獲利數據上修的關係,從整理表的數據上來看獲利預期均較去年成長15~90%之間。在本益比數據微升+機構評價上升交互效應下,此時看顯得物廉價美。
q2評價 在 貓的成長美股異想世界 Facebook 的最佳解答
🌻本周做的閱讀與功課:
https://makingsenseofusastocks.blogspot.com/2021/08/blog-post_26.html
這周的功課有些落後. 之後可能會補東西進去. 不過重點就是這兩天的Jackson Hole 會議, 以及下周的非農.
🌻近期整理好的一些財報電話會議內容, 我會陸續放到部落格那邊. 請有興趣的讀者自行去找找. 如果還沒放上, 那就是還在進行中.
🌻Snowflake (SNOW) earnings analysis by Morgan Stanley
這家的熱度很高, 不過我沒有在follow. 下面是Morgan Stanley對於SNOW這次的財報, 所給予的評價. 供有興趣的讀者參考.
Snowflake Delivers a Solid Raise to Go Along With the Beat, as Visibility into Customer Expansion Improves. Another quarter of triple-digit product revenue growth (103% vs. 110% in 1Q22), came in 6% ahead of consensus, enabled by a set of underlying business metrics that remain best-in-class in enterprise software, including: 1) 169% net-revenue retention, which improved from 168% in Q1, 2) 60% YoY growth in total customers and 3) 107% YoY growth in customers spending in excess of $1 million in product revenue. More importantly, for the first time as a public company, management raised guidance in excess of the quarterly beat and ahead of consensus with the high end 3Q/FY22 product revenue guidance coming 5%/3% ahead of consensus. This reflects management's greater visibility into the consumption patterns of large customers – a fact underscored by CFO Mike Scarpelli reiterating expectations for 160%+ net revenue retention for the balance of the year. Furthermore, the company appears to be advancing its position beyond a cloud data warehouse, as evidenced by early traction in new areas including SnowPark (modern data pipelines), security analytics, machine learning and data exchange. The one area of controversy coming out of Q2 results was the sharp deceleration in RPO, which slowed to 122% YoY from 206% the prior quarter. However, we note that RPO growth was negatively impacted by the lapping of longer contract durations and a tough compare from the ~$100 million, 3-year deal with a large customer in the year ago period. Management noted that growth in new annualized contract value accelerated versus 2Q21. Overall, we are encouraged by Snowflake's meaningful beat and raise, and take our PT to $295. However, with shares trading 54x revenue (0.67x rev growth-adjusted), we look for a pull back to generate a better risk/reward profile.
🌻美國很有名的一位"farm-influencer", 鄉村部落客, 專門描述農村&田園的部落客: https://www.instagram.com/hcneeleman/
WSJ前幾天有篇文章, 是講現在的一個美國次文化(鄉村/農村文化farm culture). 加上疫情後, 很多人搬到鄉村或是郊區, 讓這樣的文化更盛行了起來. 相關個股是連鎖零售店Tractor Supply (TSCO)以及鞋店Boot Barn (BOOT).
https://www.wsj.com/articles/instagram-stars-make-farm-life-look-delightfulminus-the-manure-11629733123
Pictures: Tractor Supply內部照片
q2評價 在 VOGUE Taiwan Youtube 的最佳解答
水不是水、乳不是乳,最新神水神乳讓你保養有感!
2021專櫃熱賣精華液排行榜 ► https://smarturl.it/odh3lb
最近有很多化妝水,擦起來就不是單純像水的質感,乳液擦起來也不像傳統那種有點厚重的感覺,今天介紹六款最新的化妝水跟乳液
#保養 #化妝水 #乳液 #美容編輯隨你問
00:30 Q1:化妝水變不簡單了
06:18 Q2:乳液也不再只是乳液
----------- 新型態乳液化妝水推薦 -----------
01:14 Estee Lauder白金級極萃賦活花秘凝露
02:31 Valmont鎏金秘尋超導凝露
03:52 Domohorn Wrinkle保濕液
06:29 Giorgio Armani黑曜岩新生奇蹟修護乳
07:28 Tom Ford完美肌膚R系列滲透精華乳
08:52 Bobbi Brown冬蟲夏草修護精華乳
【 其他熱門主題】
讓喜歡的事變生活!Good Job! ► http://smarturl.it/r7si6s
芭蕾舞者們的血淚史 ► http://smarturl.it/uhot5l
唐綺陽12星座深入剖析 ► http://smarturl.it/in8eqp
美容編輯正芳隨你問 ► http://smarturl.it/zf5840
口音、服裝專家拆解經典電影 ► http://smarturl.it/zcbgmf
---------------------------------------------------------------
【追蹤 VOGUE TAIWAN】
★訂閱VOGUE TAIWAN Youtube:http://smarturl.it/xbtuuy
★VOGUE TAIWAN 官網:http://www.vogue.com.tw/live/
★VOGUE TAIWAN Facebook:https://www.facebook.com/VogueTW/
★VOGUE TAIWAN Instagram:https://www.instagram.com/voguetaiwan/
★VOGUE TAIWAN LINE:https://reurl.cc/V66qNn
★美人會不會 FB社團:http://hyperurl.co/rgfitl
▷ Make sure you subscribe to my channel and hit the notification bell, so you don’t miss any of my new videos → http://smarturl.it/xbtuuy
--------------------------------------------
※關於時尚,VOGUE說了算!自從1892年第一本VOGUE在美國出版以來,至今已有122年的歷史,始終被時尚專業人士所推崇,因此榮譽為Fashion Bible時尚聖經。
--------------------------------------------
※台灣VOGUE隸屬Condé Nast Interculture Group,相關國外影片皆由國外授權提供給台灣使用,台灣VOGUE秉持服務網友,讓更多中文語系觀眾可以看到國際影片跟中文字幕,所以在此頻道分享給大家,如果喜歡我們的頻道,請訂閱我們,我們將會持續努力帶來更多優質內容。
q2評價 在 VOGUE Taiwan Youtube 的最讚貼文
#好家在我在家 #宅保養
快到夏天才來全身美白、整臉防曬,原來身體美白吃的沒效,打的也沒效,只有認真擦才立即見效!
2021專櫃熱賣精華液排行榜 ► https://smarturl.it/odh3lb
#NIVEA #美白 #美容編輯隨你問
01:46 Q1:吃維他命C的水果,能美白嗎?
03:17 Q2:打美白針,能美白嗎?
05:23 Q3:美白用擦的,就是有效
10:18 Q4:妮維雅小藍罐油幫油包水解密
-----------NIVEA妮維雅產品-----------
05:27 NIVEA美白潤膚乳液
10:18 NIVEA妮維雅霜
【 其他熱門主題】
讓喜歡的事變生活!Good Job! ► http://smarturl.it/r7si6s
芭蕾舞者們的血淚史 ► http://smarturl.it/uhot5l
唐綺陽12星座深入剖析 ► http://smarturl.it/in8eqp
美容編輯正芳隨你問 ► http://smarturl.it/zf5840
口音、服裝專家拆解經典電影 ► http://smarturl.it/zcbgmf
---------------------------------------------------------------
【追蹤 VOGUE TAIWAN】
★訂閱VOGUE TAIWAN Youtube:http://smarturl.it/xbtuuy
★VOGUE TAIWAN 官網:http://www.vogue.com.tw/live/
★VOGUE TAIWAN Facebook:https://www.facebook.com/VogueTW/
★VOGUE TAIWAN Instagram:https://www.instagram.com/voguetaiwan/
★VOGUE TAIWAN LINE:https://reurl.cc/V66qNn
★美人會不會 FB社團:http://hyperurl.co/rgfitl
★訂閱GQ TAIWAN Youtube:http://bit.ly/2fBjdcD
★GQ TAIWAN官網:http://www.gq.com.tw/
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★GQ TAIWAN Instagram:https://pse.is/JVNES
★GQ TAIWAN LINE:https://pse.is/FX7T4
▷ Make sure you subscribe to my channel and hit the notification bell, so you don’t miss any of my new videos → http://smarturl.it/xbtuuy
--------------------------------------------
※關於時尚,VOGUE說了算!自從1892年第一本VOGUE在美國出版以來,至今已有122年的歷史,始終被時尚專業人士所推崇,因此榮譽為Fashion Bible時尚聖經。
--------------------------------------------
※台灣VOGUE隸屬Condé Nast Interculture Group,相關國外影片皆由國外授權提供給台灣使用,台灣VOGUE秉持服務網友,讓更多中文語系觀眾可以看到國際影片跟中文字幕,所以在此頻道分享給大家,如果喜歡我們的頻道,請訂閱我們,我們將會持續努力帶來更多優質內容。
q2評價 在 VOGUE Taiwan Youtube 的精選貼文
頂級保養怎麼入門?要選一系列嗎?到底應該幾歲才能開始使用,不錯過黃金保養期!
7款新型態蜜粉重返底妝市場 ► https://smarturl.it/tgbtan
#香奈兒 #保養 #美容編輯隨你問
01:00 Q1:年輕人為什麼也瘋迷頂級保養品了?
01:36 Q2:Chanel奢華精質系列使用的5月梵尼蘭,為什麼很厲害?
03:35 Q3:如何輕鬆使用頂級乳霜
06:01 Q4:肌膚需要日夜分類保養
09:14 Q5:如何做好肌膚美白保養
-----------香奈兒頂級奢華系列-----------
03:25 香奈兒奢華極萃乳霜
07:28 香奈兒奢華極萃能量肽金露
11:27 香奈兒奢華金燦煥白精萃
【VOGUE聲明】
謝謝大家對於影片的喜歡和給于指教。
也謝謝Dr.Ivan是因為他在化學原料上的專業,可以協助我們更了解產品功效。
Dr.Ivan在此影片的發言是正確無誤的,希望大家可以因為影片獲得更多美妝科普知識。
謝謝大家的指教,我們聽見了,『美容編輯隨你問』持續精進中!
【 其他熱門主題】
讓喜歡的事變生活!Good Job! ► http://smarturl.it/r7si6s
芭蕾舞者們的血淚史 ► http://smarturl.it/uhot5l
唐綺陽12星座深入剖析 ► http://smarturl.it/in8eqp
美容編輯正芳隨你問 ► http://smarturl.it/zf5840
口音、服裝專家拆解經典電影 ► http://smarturl.it/zcbgmf
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※關於時尚,VOGUE說了算!自從1892年第一本VOGUE在美國出版以來,至今已有122年的歷史,始終被時尚專業人士所推崇,因此榮譽為Fashion Bible時尚聖經。
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※台灣VOGUE隸屬Condé Nast Interculture Group,相關國外影片皆由國外授權提供給台灣使用,台灣VOGUE秉持服務網友,讓更多中文語系觀眾可以看到國際影片跟中文字幕,所以在此頻道分享給大家,如果喜歡我們的頻道,請訂閱我們,我們將會持續努力帶來更多優質內容。
q2評價 在 Audi Q2 35 TFSI S Line試駕 享有個性的價值,不妨先拋棄C/P ... 的推薦與評價
有別於小改款前的雙動力單元,小改款後的Q2則是將動力縮減至單一1.5升汽油渦輪引擎,不過輸出調校則維持與當初1.4升相同的150匹最大馬力、25.5公斤米最大 ... ... <看更多>
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(開箱文) Audi Q2 35 TFSI Premium - 19年式
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www.mobile01.com 的其他相關資訊
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q2評價 在 Entrebox-集氣箱- #五百元性價比入門款【1zpresso Q2 開箱 ... 的推薦與評價
五百元性價比入門款【1zpresso Q2 開箱介紹 】 Hello ha John here !每到星期六日都係我出開箱文推毒嘅日子。之前發現都有唔少人問我呢個model,所以就介紹下 ... ... <看更多>
q2評價 在 [心得] Realme Q2 入手心得- 看板MobileComm - 批踢踢實業坊 的推薦與評價
====前情提要====
會換這支 Realme Q2 真的是意外,
其實我才剛換 Motorola One Hyper 不久,
但是在某天騎車到一半從口袋掉出來,
花了個晚上沿路找它,
當找到已經變成這副慘樣:
不知道被幾台車輾過QQ
保內也沒用,這100%人損...
爬文後鎖定 Realme Q2 從某東直寄,
6G版本折合台幣5200多,
這邊非常建議買來開機第1件事一定要去載他們 apk 申請解鎖,
因為原廠會裝一堆對岸才能用的 app,
解鎖後那些 app 全部都會被刪除,
系統整個清爽,Google play 也順利安裝
==與 One Hyper 比較==
[重量]:One Hyper > Q2
Q2 明顯輕了不少,
拿 One Hyper 感覺在重訓@@
[相機]:One Hyper >>> Q2
One Hyper 明顯好太多了,
Q2 相機就堪用,照片像油畫一樣...
[螢幕]:One Hyper > Q2
久看 One Hyper 比 Q2 舒服許多
[續航]:Q2 > One Hyper
沒辦法,Q2 有5000 mAh的電池容量
[UI及順暢度]:Q2 > One Hyper
雖然都是Android 10,
相較 One Hyper 原生系統 realme UI 人性化不少
而且 Q2 還有 120Hz 加持
==Q2奇怪的問題==
1.簡訊只能用他們家的 app,即使去設定換預設也沒用
2.雖然 Magisk 刷成功,不知道為什麼 TWRP 刷成功怎樣都進不去
==總結==
800U CPU 加上 5G 雙卡雙待的規格,
5200元真的沒什麼好嫌的,
這價位在台灣沒幾個對手,
One hyper 我可是買近7000...@@
不過要直接從對岸入手的話,
還是建議有點刷機知識,
不然就要忍受對岸預設安裝的 app...
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 180.217.19.67 (臺灣)
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/MobileComm/M.1609644610.A.6E4.html
碎得很有藝術,碎碎平安XD
剛剛裝是沒遇到甚麼問題
感謝
其實是刷成功怎樣都進不去,我改一下內文
x50比較好也比較貴
是的,只有realme才可以用
紅米10X相機更爛,續航差,充電慢哪來的全面輾壓?
https://post.smzdm.com/p/aekwo37z/
QQ
※ 編輯: mark9462 (111.235.252.38 臺灣), 01/03/2021 20:05:07
... <看更多>