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◤SEMI: The U.S. should work with China as a competitor, not an enemy◢
As the former CEO of Global Foundries, the world’s third-largest semiconductor manufacturer, how does Ajit Manocha interpret the impact of the U.S. election and the Sino-American trade impasse on the semiconductor industry?
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Open call for your pieces｜Taiwan Model: COVID-19 & Me
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【陪你看國際新聞】臺灣的防衛策略 vs 美國總統大選
蔡英文上任後，2017-2019 年的參謀總長李喜明，與 Project 2049 Institute 的研究員，一起寫了篇文章，投稿在 The Diplomat，並刊登於首頁。
Taiwan’s Overall Defense Concept, Explained
https://bit.ly/2TRdnVC
內容主要提到中共對臺灣的威脅，台灣目前的防禦策略，已著重於不對稱作戰，也就是用低成本造成高打擊，例如用大量便宜的反艦飛彈，打沉對方進犯的昂貴船隻與兵力。所需要的武器，剛好是最近這個月跟美國買的方向。
這種說帖式的文章，一定要提到對美國的利益。文中提到，對美國來說，與臺灣合作，能增加第一線調度的戰爭知識與經驗，對鞏固美國自由開放的印太政策也很有幫助。
最後一段說到，臺灣並不會期待美國犧牲自己年輕人的生命來保衛臺灣，但如果美國肯幫助（意思就是情報與武器，出兵隨緣），臺灣會守得更好。臺灣人有決心，捍衛自己的存在以及生活方式。
這篇投書的時機點很微妙，是在 11/3 刊出的，也表示政府的工作，在美國總統選舉前，已經朝向整個美國外交軍事決策與智庫圈。
不管美國總統之後是拜登或川普，以美國政府的架構來說，持續深化國會、國務院、外交智庫對臺灣的認識，是最具長遠效益的。
很幸運也很努力的，在過去四年，我們補足了戰鬥機、坦克，最近又買了反艦飛彈、多管火箭系統，這表示美方軍事決策圈以及國會都已經認識到臺灣的防衛需求。
總之，我們已經把握了機會武裝自己、捍衛自己的家園。
「A U.S.-Taiwan Joint Working Group could be mutually beneficial as it would not only bolster Taiwan’s defense and provide the U.S. military with insight for its own contingency planning and future warfighting, but also improve latent interoperability. Furthermore, the strengthened defense of Taiwan could play an important role in advancing the U.S. Free and Open Indo-Pacific strategy.
Now is the time to embrace an asymmetric approach to Taiwan’s defense. A fully implemented and institutionalized Overall Defense Concept would provide strategic guidance across all defense agencies and military services for a unified and deliberate effort in military investments and force development to strengthen Taiwan’s national defense. If the battle comes to Taiwan, the ODC would ensure the capitalization of all available military and civilian assets to muster a whole-of-society effort to defeat the enemy. Now is also the time for a new era of U.S.-Taiwan security cooperation. The Taiwan Strait could possibly be the theater of Sino-American military conflict, and the U.S. and Taiwan have an opportunity to address the CCP threat together. Through implementing the ODC, the U.S.-Taiwan Joint Working Group would enhance deterrent effects of the bilateral relationship and embolden Taiwan’s security.
In a cross-strait contingency, Taiwan would appreciate any assistance from Washington. However, Taiwan’s military will not assume that the U.S. will sacrifice American lives to defend the island. But with American support, Taiwan can fight better. It is the onus of the Taiwanese people to decide their fate and fight for their existence.」
【時代雜誌投稿 —— 黃之鋒 x 鄺頌晴：Hong Kong Cannot Prosper Without Autonomy】
https://time.com/5844588/joshua-wong-hong-kong-cannot-prosper-without-autonomy/
By passing the resolution to develop legislation to “safeguard national security” in Hong Kong in its rubber stamp parliament, Beijing initiated “political mutual destruction” for itself and Hong Kong. Beijing’s plan to rein in Hong Kong—defying a worldwide outcry—is revenge on the democratic movement in Hong Kong which has been protesting since March 2019. It is also retaliation against the U.S. for passing the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act 2019.
On 27 May, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo issued a statement certifying that Hong Kong no longer warrants differential treatment under U.S. law. At the same time declaring, “No reasonable person can assert today that Hong Kong maintains a high degree of autonomy from China, given facts on the ground.” He also filed a report to the Congress, in accordance with the Act, grounding from the fact that Beijing assert its right to interpret all laws in Hong Kong in November 2019; the Liaison Office’s claims that it was exempted from Article 22 of the Basic Law in April 2020; and the national security law announced last week. He further added that the deployment of tear gas and the mass arrests and the dispatching of the People’s Armed Police into Hong Kong, all constituted a violation of the Basic Law and the Sino-British Joint Declaration. President Donald Trump will later have to invoke the U.S.-Hong Kong Policy Act of 1992 to respond with appropriate measures, possible approaches range from economic relations, to restrictions on immigration to cultural and educational exchanges.
The U.S. response to the events over the last year signifies that it has shifted from an appeasing “change for trade” to an unyielding foreign policy towards China. From the 1980s, the free world had been hoping China would liberalize and democratize itself as trade rapidly grew between it and the world. It was a false belief that opening up the Chinese market would lead to opening up of the Chinese mindset. However, such optimism has proved to be in vain.
The special arrangement under which the U.S. treats Hong Kong differently from China on politics, trade, commerce, and other areas, stems from Hong Kong maintaining sufficient autonomy. As a holdover from its time as a British Colony, Hong Kong has a different legal and economic system. Now as Beijing tightens its grip over the city, depriving Hong Kong of its last little bit of freedom and autonomy, the basis of that special agreement is compromised. Therefore the U.S. has every right to change its policy towards Hong Kong, regardless of Beijing’s snarling about “foreign intervention” and its attempts to use Hong Kong as a bargaining chip.
Beijing has long taken advantage of Hong Kong to gain access to foreign capital and other state-of-the-art technology products. Hong Kong, enjoying special legal treatments, is the favourite channel for mainland Chinese to ship funds offshore in defiance of Beijing’s control on cross-border capital flows, taxation and corruption inspections. Distrusting their own currency, many Chinese find the Hong Kong Dollar, which is linked to the U.S. Dollar, to be more reliable. Chinese companies have swarmed into Hong Kong, pretending to be “Hong Kong companies,” amid the Sino-American trade war. Leaders in Beijing continue to reap the benefits of this arrangement while the freedoms of Hong Kongers deteriorate.
Hong Kong has long proven its strategic role in the China-U.S. dynamics. The city can be used as a loophole against the free world if the special status remains unchanged while the city is totally subject to authoritative China. The act of inserting this new national security law in a top-down manner now risks all the benefits Beijing could and did exploit, but it is all of Beijing’s own doing. Beijing is dragging Hong Kong into a “political mutual destruction” that will costs us a high price, yet the hit is necessary.
As Hong Kong loses its special status, Beijing will lose its trump card against the free world. In response to American pressure, Beijing’s short-term reaction will be more forceful. It will further crack down on the political protest movement— targeting activists, electoral candidates and legislators who have participated in international advocacy. Yet, China’s economy will be hindered in the long run, even though China will surely pretend that it is “business as usual.” It remains to be seen how severe Washington’s measure regarding Hong Kong will be, but the global repercussions facing China in the aftermaths of the pandemic will also have a serious impact on its economy.
The U.S. termination of the city’s special status is aimed at stopped Beijing’s rogue behaviour and encouraging it to reverse course on Hong Kong. The prosperity of Hong Kong is based on its autonomy, not Beijing’s dictatorship. Beijing’s decision will drive our city into dire straits in all aspects—the stock market may plunge, unemployment numbers may rise and foreign businesses may flee. But at the same time we must acknowledge there is no room for a prosperous Hong Kong without adequate amount of freedom and human rights protection.
#國際戰線 #眾志國際連結
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反國安法外媒投稿：
英國獨立報 ft. Amon Yiu：China’s new security law will be the death of liberty in Hong Kong – that’s why thousands have hit the streets：https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/hong-kong-protests-china-security-law-joshua-wong
美國華盛頓郵報 ft. Glacier Kwong：This is the final nail in the coffin for Hong Kong’s autonomy：https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/05/24/this-is-final-nail-coffin-hong-kongs-autonomy/
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